The Broncos are 7-1 and they host their division rival Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday at home. The Broncos have not lost to the Chiefs in the Peyton Manning era in Denver. Manning is 7-0 against the Chiefs including Week 2 and the wild, crazy ending that saw the Broncos win the game on a Bradley Roby fumble return with only seconds left. Now, in Week 10, the Broncos are in control of the AFC West at 7-1, and the Chiefs have stumbled to a 3-5 mark. The things that worry me about this game is that fact that Denver's defense is going to be without Demarcus Ware and Aqib Talib. Also, the Broncos are very banged up and they are coming off a physical contest in Indy. Plus, are the Broncos due to lose a game to Chiefs with Manning at the helm? KC almost got them in Week 2, but somehow Denver escaped with the win. This game could be a lot closer than people anticipate. I smell an upset here. Before I get to my pick of the Broncos-Chiefs and my other Week 10 picks, I wanted just to look at some stats now that the Broncos are halfway through their 2015 season:
1) The Broncos are on pace to score 384 points on offense. The most points they have scored as an offense is 27 in the win over the Packers two weeks ago.
2) The Broncos are on pace to give up on 278 points on defense.
3) Peyton Manning is on pace for 18 touchdowns and 26 interceptions with 4,250 yards passing.
4) Denver's leading rusher Ronnie Hillman is on pace for only 768 yards rushing for the year.
5) Demaryius Thomas is on pace for 102 receptions for 1,490 yards and only 2 touchdowns.
6) Emmanuel Sanders is on pace for 92 catches for 1,278 yards and 8 touchdowns.
7) As a team, the Broncos are on pace for 60 sacks. Demarcus Ware is on pace for 13 sacks, and Von Miller is on pace for 8 sacks.
We'll see how those numbers change over the course of the second half of the season.
Now, onto the picks for Week 10...
Kansas City (+7) over DENVER
Final Score: Chiefs-24 Broncos-20
Last Week's Record: 6-5-2
Overall Record: 61-65-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
GREEN BAY (-10) over Detroit: The Packers will get things back on track after losing two straight games to the Broncos and the Panthers. Now, they get to come home and take out their frustrations on the Lions. The Lions have lost 24 straight games in Green Bay. That is pretty astonishing. I don't see a reason why they will end their streak there this week.
Dallas (+2) over TAMPA BAY: I don't have a lot of confidence in this pick, but I'm taking the Cowboys because I want them to be somewhat relevant when Tony Romo returns from his broken collarbone. If the Cowboys can somehow win this week, then they would be 3-6 with Romo coming back, and then maybe they could get on a little run and make the NFC East more interesting.
TENNESSEE (+7) over Carolina: The Titans somehow beat the Saints in New Orleans last week, and the Panthers come to town undefeated. The Panthers will win this game, but I see it closer than people will think. Two things to look at in this game: First, you have to admire what Cam Newton has done for the Panthers. He has my MVP vote so far this year. Secondly, you have to like the future in Tennessee with Marcus Mariota at QB. Last week's win over New Orleans proved to Mariota has a bright future in this league.
ST. LOUIS (-7) over Chicago: The Rams are 4-4, but I feel like they should have a better record. If they can any kind of consistent play from Nick Foles, then they will be a playoff team. The Bears are 3-5 after winning on the road in San Diego last Monday night. You have to give John Fox credit for the Bears and their ability to fight back after starting the season 0-3. They have won three of five, and Jay Cutler is actually playing solid and turnover free football. I think this will be a tall order for them in St. Louis this week though.
WASHINGTON (+2) over New Orleans: I don't know what to make of the Saints after they blew that game at home to the Titans. They were 4-4, and had the lowly Titans in their building on a week when the Titans fired their head coach. They blew multiple leads and lost in overtime to fall to 4-5. That could be the backbreaker of their season. Now, they have to go on the road and take on the Redskins, and I like how the Skins play at home this year. The Skins aren't very good at 3-5, but they have shown some signs at times this year. I'll take them at home as an underdog.
PHILLY (-5) over Miami: This game is the toughest to call in my opinion. The Dolphins looked like they were on the verge of turning around their season after winning the first two games under interim head coach Dan Campbell, but they got blown out two games in a row to the Pats and the Bills and are now at 3-5. The Eagles are 4-4 after winning an overtime thriller in Dallas last Sunday night. I can't get a read on the Eagles, but you would think that they will be able to handle the Fish at home. Miami has talent, so if they play up to their potential they can win this game, but I'll stick with my gut and the Eagles.
Cleveland (+6) over PITTSBURGH: I think the Steelers will win this game with Landry Jones at quarterback filling in for Big Ben, but I also think the Browns will make it a close game because Landry Jones is starting at quarterback in place of Big Ben. It sounds like Johnny Manziel will get the start, and although he hasn't been spectacular when he has played this year, I have this feeling that he will somehow win a game on his own for the Browns. Maybe this is the week?
Jacksonville (+6) overt BALTIMORE: Do you really have confidence in the Ravens this year? Now, Joe Flacco's only offensive weapon, Steve Smith, is out for the year with an Achilles injury. They just don't have the firepower on offense. The Jaguars aren't good but at least they have shown some flashes the last few weeks. They beat Buffalo in London, and gave the Jets all they could handle last week. I'll take them to be feisty in Baltimore this week.
OAKLAND (-3) over Minnesota: The Vikings come in at 6-2, and the Raiders come in at 4-4, but Oakland is definitely improved and they are a legitimate playoff contender. This is a good matchup, but I think the Raiders will be too much for the Vikings-especially with Teddy Bridgewater being a question mark due to a concussion.
New England (-7) over NY GIANTS: Here in New York this week, the talk is how the Giants are the one team that isn't afraid of the Patriots. They are a team that has beaten them on the biggest stage before, and they have their number. I don't buy it this year in this game. The Giants defense could very well get carved up by the Patriots and Tom Brady. I'm sure the Giants will be pumped up and ready to throw everything they have into this game, but I just don't think it will be enough to overtake the Pats.
SEATTLE (-3) over Arizona: This is a very intriguing Sunday night game. The Cardinals lead the NFC West at 6-2, and Seattle is currently 4-4. You would have to think that the Seahawks will play one of their best games of the year this week-especially at home in front of the 12th man, but give Arizona credit because they are a very good team, and I could see them pulling an upset. I'll take Seattle at home to get the win and setup a very interesting race down the stretch in the NFC West.
CINCY (-9) over Houston: What a crummy game for Monday Night Football. The Bengals remain undefeated at 8-0, and I don't see anyway that they screw this one up at home to the Texans. They will get to 9-0 in pretty easy fashion.
Saturday, November 14, 2015
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Week 10 TNF Pick!
Buffalo (+3) over NY JETS: Finally, a Thursday Night Football game to get excited about. This is a big game in the AFC Wild Card picture as the 4-4 Bills head to the Meadowlands to take on the 5-3 Jets. The game features the return of former Jets coach Rex Ryan as head now runs the sidelines for the Bills. Both teams will be a factor later in the year in the AFC playoff puzzle, so this game will be very key in deciding a possible playoff berth later in the year. I like that the Bills are healthy and they have Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins back in the lineup. The Jets are dealing with a lot of injuries and guys like Nick Mangold and Antonio Cromartie are banged up and might not play on the short week. I haven't liked what I have seen out of the Jets the last three weeks, and I think the Bills will be able to pull off the slight upset on a short week and Rex will be one happy coach after this week's game.
Broncos Suffer First Loss of Season in Indy 27-24
The Broncos lost their first game of the season in Indianapolis on Sunday 27-24. It was easily the most sloppy, disjointed, and frustrating game of the season for Denver. They fell behind early 17-0, but they rallied to tie it twice in second half. Once at 17-17 and then the second time at 24-24 in the fourth quarter. The comebacks came up short as the Colts won the game on the heels of an Adam Vinatieri 55 yard field goal midway through the fourth quarter and a Darius Butler pick of a Peyton Manning pass on the next series helped the Cotls put the game away. A slew of ugly plays and bonehead penalties from the Broncos defense helped the Colts run out the clock. Give the Broncos credit for fighting back from a 17 point deficit, but their overall play on offense and defense was not up to standards and cost them the game. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game....
1) The Broncos defense played its worst game of the year-especially early. Chris Harris wanted to cover T.Y. Hilton and he got beat by Hilton consistently. Frank Gore found some running room early as the Colts controlled the tempo of the game. It wasn't the type of game that we were expecting from the Denver defense. After four drives in the first half, the Broncos were down 17-0. The Colts kept them off balance throughout the half.
2) The Broncos offense started off very slow, and it was aided by drops from Owen Daniels, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Throw in a bad pick by Manning on the third series, and the Broncos offense played a F game in the first half. The running game was a complete non-factor once again, and the Broncos pretty much abandoned it from the very first series of the game.
3) How many times this year is Sanders going to drop a deep ball from Manning? It happens like 2-3 times a game.
4) Give Andrew Luck credit because he took a beating and he was game enough to hang in there and make the key throws he needed. He killed Denver on third down and sometimes those third downs were a result of him scrambling. He ended up getting hurt on a big hit in this game and it will put him out for a few weeks, but he was sensational in this game-especially with a lot of defenders in his face.
5) Why the hell would Chuck Pagano punt the ball to Omar Bolden with 15 seconds left in the half? Why not kick it out of bounds? Denver was dead in the water at that point. Bolden returns the punt-untouched by the way- 83 yards with no time left in the half and it cuts the Colts lead to 17-7. You have to wonder if Pagano is the right guy to be the head coach of this team. Remember the fake punt debacle against the Patriots a few weeks ago? This was as bad of a decision as you can make as a head coach. It turned the game around.
6) Peyton Manning made a great play by stepping up in the pocket and hitting a sweet deep post to Sanders for a 64 yard touchdown on a 3rd and 14 on the Broncos opening drive of the second half. It cut the lead to 17-14, and really gave Denver momentum. Why can't we see more of that this year from Manning and this offense?
7) After Denver forced a fourth straight punt by the Colts, the Broncos offense put together a really solid drive. It was highlighted by a great play-action, bootleg from Manning. Peyton faked the handoff and booted to his left, completely fooled the defense, and then he threw back across his body to Owen Daniels who was running a deep post across the field. Daniels caught it and was pushed out at the Indy 18. Great play call by Kubiak and great execution by Manning. We need more of that with this offense!
8) After the drive stalled, the Broncos settled for a field goal and a tie at 17. The defense needed to come up with a stop and they couldn't get off the field on third down. Luck hit Hilton and Coby Fleener for big pickups, and even Griff "Freaking" Whalen had a big 3rd and 7 catch and run to the Broncos 10 to set up a Luck to Ahmad Bradshaw touchdown hookup to make it 24-17 Colts.. The Broncos defense has been great this year, but if you want to be compared to the '85 Bears or the 2000 Ravens, then you have to get a stop after your offense ties the game up at 17. You can't let the Colts go right back down the field and score a touchdown.
9) Give Manning credit for making some really sweet throws on the ensuing drive. One to Daniels and another to Virgil Green. A key screen to Demariyius Thomas on a 3rd and 14 set up a 1 yard touchdown pass from Manning to Daniels to tie it up at 24 with 8:54 left in the game. It was easily Daniels best game as a Bronco. Great response by the Broncos offense.
10) The Broncos defense again didn't shut the door completely, but it did enough to make Adam Vinatieri hit a 55 yard field goal to take the lead for the Colts at 27-24 with just over 6 minutes to go in the game.
11) Manning got picked off on the next play for the Broncos with 5:57 left in the game. He got hit as he threw, Darius Butler beat DT to the spot, and there was some question if Thomas got hit early before the ball arrived, but in any event Butler's pick of Manning essentially iced the game. The stuff that happened after this play was the just the most frustrating and inexcusable part of the entire season so far.
12) The Colts converted a 3rd and 1, a holding call in the secondary gave the Colts another first down, a 3rd and 10 to a wide open Whalen again, and then a ridiculous penalty on Aqib Talib to give the Colts another first down. With the Colts facing a third down play at the 2 minute warning, Talib was jawing back and forth with Indy TE Dwayne Allen and then he proceeded to poke Allen in the eye. That is correct: Aqib Talib pulled a Rowdy Roddy Piper and poked Allen in the eye and it gave the Colts an automatic first down. Instead of making the Colts run a third down play with 2 minutes left, the Colts got a first down, and Talib gets the award for the worst play of the year so far. What a disgraceful job by Talib.
13) To make matters worse, the Colts settled for a field goal with 28 seconds left and Vinatieri made it, but Danny Trevathan was called for defensive holding on the play and it gave the Colts a chance to simply take a knee and run out the clock.
14) It was not a good day for both sides of the ball but the Broncos defense had their worst performance of the season. Too many missed assignments, wide open receivers, lack of pressure, penalties and just bone-headed mistakes took this Broncos defense down a notch. Let's just hope that this game was an aberration and hopefully they will make up for it next week against the Chiefs.
15) The offense started off too slow to start the game. They punted on all of their first half possessions. I thought Manning played well, and outside of the two interceptions he made some really great throws. He was victimized by drops once again, and those drops are really becoming an issue for this team. Manning finished just three yards shy of Brett Favre's all-time record, and he can break that record next week at home as well.
16) You knew Denver wasn't going to go 16-0, but this loss bothers me because I really don't think the Colts are remotely better than Denver. It just seemed like the Broncos were off a bit, and it cost them the game. At 7-1, their season certainly is not over, but you would like to seem them put in a very solid performance at home this Sunday against the 3-5 Chiefs. Hopefully, they will get back on track and put this ugly loss to Indy behind them.
1) The Broncos defense played its worst game of the year-especially early. Chris Harris wanted to cover T.Y. Hilton and he got beat by Hilton consistently. Frank Gore found some running room early as the Colts controlled the tempo of the game. It wasn't the type of game that we were expecting from the Denver defense. After four drives in the first half, the Broncos were down 17-0. The Colts kept them off balance throughout the half.
2) The Broncos offense started off very slow, and it was aided by drops from Owen Daniels, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Throw in a bad pick by Manning on the third series, and the Broncos offense played a F game in the first half. The running game was a complete non-factor once again, and the Broncos pretty much abandoned it from the very first series of the game.
3) How many times this year is Sanders going to drop a deep ball from Manning? It happens like 2-3 times a game.
4) Give Andrew Luck credit because he took a beating and he was game enough to hang in there and make the key throws he needed. He killed Denver on third down and sometimes those third downs were a result of him scrambling. He ended up getting hurt on a big hit in this game and it will put him out for a few weeks, but he was sensational in this game-especially with a lot of defenders in his face.
5) Why the hell would Chuck Pagano punt the ball to Omar Bolden with 15 seconds left in the half? Why not kick it out of bounds? Denver was dead in the water at that point. Bolden returns the punt-untouched by the way- 83 yards with no time left in the half and it cuts the Colts lead to 17-7. You have to wonder if Pagano is the right guy to be the head coach of this team. Remember the fake punt debacle against the Patriots a few weeks ago? This was as bad of a decision as you can make as a head coach. It turned the game around.
6) Peyton Manning made a great play by stepping up in the pocket and hitting a sweet deep post to Sanders for a 64 yard touchdown on a 3rd and 14 on the Broncos opening drive of the second half. It cut the lead to 17-14, and really gave Denver momentum. Why can't we see more of that this year from Manning and this offense?
7) After Denver forced a fourth straight punt by the Colts, the Broncos offense put together a really solid drive. It was highlighted by a great play-action, bootleg from Manning. Peyton faked the handoff and booted to his left, completely fooled the defense, and then he threw back across his body to Owen Daniels who was running a deep post across the field. Daniels caught it and was pushed out at the Indy 18. Great play call by Kubiak and great execution by Manning. We need more of that with this offense!
8) After the drive stalled, the Broncos settled for a field goal and a tie at 17. The defense needed to come up with a stop and they couldn't get off the field on third down. Luck hit Hilton and Coby Fleener for big pickups, and even Griff "Freaking" Whalen had a big 3rd and 7 catch and run to the Broncos 10 to set up a Luck to Ahmad Bradshaw touchdown hookup to make it 24-17 Colts.. The Broncos defense has been great this year, but if you want to be compared to the '85 Bears or the 2000 Ravens, then you have to get a stop after your offense ties the game up at 17. You can't let the Colts go right back down the field and score a touchdown.
9) Give Manning credit for making some really sweet throws on the ensuing drive. One to Daniels and another to Virgil Green. A key screen to Demariyius Thomas on a 3rd and 14 set up a 1 yard touchdown pass from Manning to Daniels to tie it up at 24 with 8:54 left in the game. It was easily Daniels best game as a Bronco. Great response by the Broncos offense.
10) The Broncos defense again didn't shut the door completely, but it did enough to make Adam Vinatieri hit a 55 yard field goal to take the lead for the Colts at 27-24 with just over 6 minutes to go in the game.
11) Manning got picked off on the next play for the Broncos with 5:57 left in the game. He got hit as he threw, Darius Butler beat DT to the spot, and there was some question if Thomas got hit early before the ball arrived, but in any event Butler's pick of Manning essentially iced the game. The stuff that happened after this play was the just the most frustrating and inexcusable part of the entire season so far.
12) The Colts converted a 3rd and 1, a holding call in the secondary gave the Colts another first down, a 3rd and 10 to a wide open Whalen again, and then a ridiculous penalty on Aqib Talib to give the Colts another first down. With the Colts facing a third down play at the 2 minute warning, Talib was jawing back and forth with Indy TE Dwayne Allen and then he proceeded to poke Allen in the eye. That is correct: Aqib Talib pulled a Rowdy Roddy Piper and poked Allen in the eye and it gave the Colts an automatic first down. Instead of making the Colts run a third down play with 2 minutes left, the Colts got a first down, and Talib gets the award for the worst play of the year so far. What a disgraceful job by Talib.
13) To make matters worse, the Colts settled for a field goal with 28 seconds left and Vinatieri made it, but Danny Trevathan was called for defensive holding on the play and it gave the Colts a chance to simply take a knee and run out the clock.
14) It was not a good day for both sides of the ball but the Broncos defense had their worst performance of the season. Too many missed assignments, wide open receivers, lack of pressure, penalties and just bone-headed mistakes took this Broncos defense down a notch. Let's just hope that this game was an aberration and hopefully they will make up for it next week against the Chiefs.
15) The offense started off too slow to start the game. They punted on all of their first half possessions. I thought Manning played well, and outside of the two interceptions he made some really great throws. He was victimized by drops once again, and those drops are really becoming an issue for this team. Manning finished just three yards shy of Brett Favre's all-time record, and he can break that record next week at home as well.
16) You knew Denver wasn't going to go 16-0, but this loss bothers me because I really don't think the Colts are remotely better than Denver. It just seemed like the Broncos were off a bit, and it cost them the game. At 7-1, their season certainly is not over, but you would like to seem them put in a very solid performance at home this Sunday against the 3-5 Chiefs. Hopefully, they will get back on track and put this ugly loss to Indy behind them.
Thursday, November 5, 2015
Broncos-Colts and Week 9 Picks
The Broncos played their best game of the season last year in a dominating victory over the previously undefeated Packers. Now, Denver takes it 7-0 record on the road to Indianapolis to take on the dysfunctional Colts. Indy comes in at 3-5, and they just fired offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton. Andrew Luck is not playing well at this point in the season, and it is a combination of a shaky offensive line and the fact that Luck is clearly banged up and playing hurt. With all that being said, why does this game scare me as a Broncos fan? First, the Broncos played their "A" game last week, so you always have to watch out for a let down the following week. Secondly, the Colts are so desperate at this point in their season. They need a win badly and they have struggled at home this year. If they lose this week, there is a feeling that head coach Chuck Pagano is next to lose his job. In the Broncos favor is the fact that Peyton Manning would really like to put the Colts on the brink of disaster and win in Indy-especially since this looks like it will be Manning's last season. Could Denver absolutely bury the Colts and win this game in a blowout? Yes, they certainly can, but the NFL is not that easy. I expect a very close game, and I expect Luck and the Colts to throw everything they have at the Broncos. It might be just enough.
INDY (+5) over Denver
Final Score: Colts-26 Broncos-20
Last Week's Record: 5-7-2
Overall Record: 55-60-4
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
PITTSBURGH (-3) over Oakland: Are the Raiders for real? I would have to say they are after getting to a 4-3 start and hammering the Jets last week. The Steelers come in at 4-4, but Ben Roethlisberger is back. This is a great early game on CBS. It is definitely a "measuring stick" game for the Raiders, but I would expect the Steelers to get back on track at home.
NY JETS (-6) over Jacksonville: The Jets are reeling after losing their last two games and standing at 4-3. They get a gift in the sense that the Jaguars are coming to town this week, and it gives them a chance to stop the bleeding. It looks like Ryan Fitzpatrick will start at QB, so that should give the Jets a real boost. How is Gus Bradley have the most secure job status of all the AFC South coaches? He is 9-30 as Jaguars head coach. That is just awful. He is about to become 9-31.
St. Louis (+3) over MINNESOTA: My two sleeper teams in the NFC wild card chase battle in a very interesting matchup. The Vikings are 5-2 and the Rams come in at 4-3. This game could go a long way in deciding a wild card berth. I think the Vikings are due for a loss this week, and I just love that Rams defense-even in this spot on the road.
BUFFALO (-2) over Miami: Where do I go with this one? Both teams come in at 3-4, so this game is equally important. The Bills get Tyrod Taylor back, and they need him because they weren't the same team with E.J. Manuel at the helm. The Dolphins came back to Earth last week with a thrashing at the hands of the Patriots. I'm going to go with the Bills because they are at home, and they are getting Taylor back, but I'm not confident at all. This game could go either way.
NEW ORLEANS (-7) over Tennessee: The Titans fired head coach Ken Whisenhunt and now they turn to Mike Mularkey as their interim coach. I was surprised by Whisenhunt's firing only because I figured they would give him some time to work with rookie QB Marcus Mariota. I just can't see the Titans playing well enough to cover in New Orleans. The Saints have turned around their season and they stand at 4-4 after last week's wild 52-49 win over the Giants. I see the Saints getting to 5-4 with a resounding home win.
NEW ENGLAND (-13) over Washington: I'm not going against the Patriots at this point, so I'll take them although I hate the high spread. You would figure that the Pats won't mess around in this one and put the Skins out of their misery early. By the way, can we please stop with the idea that the Patriots are going to go undefeated like 2007? They will lose at least 2 games this year. It is just a matter of which ones they lose and at what point. They won't lose this one though.
Green Bay (-3) over CAROLINA: How about this monster game in the NFC? The 7-0 Panthers host the 6-1 Packers. All week I liked the Panthers, but I am still not convinced that they are an elite team in the NFC. I think Green Bay was embarrassed by their performance in Denver last week, and I think they will take out their frustration out this week and play their best game of the season.
Atlanta (-6) over SAN FRANCISCO: The Falcons are 6-2, but they haven't been impressive the last few weeks. They lost a game at home to the Bucs last week, but I think they will rebound nicely this week. Their gift to get them back on track? Blaine Gabbert gets the start for the 49ers as Colin Kaepernick heads to the bench. Dan Quinn has to be licking his chops.
TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Giants: Tough game to call, but I think this will be a tricky one for the Giants in Tampa. I like what I see out of Jameis Winston, and I don't like the inconsistent play of the G-Men. Take the Bucs in an upset.
Philly (-3) over DALLAS: Ugh, what a crappy Sunday Night Football Game on NBC. Although the 3-4 Eagles and the 2-5 Cowboys (without Tony Romo) is not a great matchup in Week9, it will stay on SNF because of the big-market and big-name capabilities of these two NFC East rivals. It is annoying because I would love to see Green Bay-Carolina or even the Vikings-Rams flexed into this spot, but that won't happen with the appeal and attention of the Cowboys and Eagles . Until Tony Romo comes back, I just can't pick the Cowboys.
Chicago (+3) over SAN DIEGO: Another dud game on primetime this week as we get the 2-6 Chargers hosting the 2-5 Bears. As a Broncos fan, why the hell would want to watch this game? We get the long awaited duel between Jay Cutler and Phillip Rivers with bad blood stemming from a 2007 game when Cutler was a Bronco. Maybe Bears head coach John Fox and Chargers head coach Mike McCoy can meet during the pregame and discuss how awful they botched the end of the 2012 Divisional Playoff game that Denver lost to the Ravens? This game could go either way, and I need to pick more underdogs for this week's games, so I'll take the Bears in what should amount to a very one-sided Chicago crowd in San Diego on Monday night.
INDY (+5) over Denver
Final Score: Colts-26 Broncos-20
Last Week's Record: 5-7-2
Overall Record: 55-60-4
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
PITTSBURGH (-3) over Oakland: Are the Raiders for real? I would have to say they are after getting to a 4-3 start and hammering the Jets last week. The Steelers come in at 4-4, but Ben Roethlisberger is back. This is a great early game on CBS. It is definitely a "measuring stick" game for the Raiders, but I would expect the Steelers to get back on track at home.
NY JETS (-6) over Jacksonville: The Jets are reeling after losing their last two games and standing at 4-3. They get a gift in the sense that the Jaguars are coming to town this week, and it gives them a chance to stop the bleeding. It looks like Ryan Fitzpatrick will start at QB, so that should give the Jets a real boost. How is Gus Bradley have the most secure job status of all the AFC South coaches? He is 9-30 as Jaguars head coach. That is just awful. He is about to become 9-31.
St. Louis (+3) over MINNESOTA: My two sleeper teams in the NFC wild card chase battle in a very interesting matchup. The Vikings are 5-2 and the Rams come in at 4-3. This game could go a long way in deciding a wild card berth. I think the Vikings are due for a loss this week, and I just love that Rams defense-even in this spot on the road.
BUFFALO (-2) over Miami: Where do I go with this one? Both teams come in at 3-4, so this game is equally important. The Bills get Tyrod Taylor back, and they need him because they weren't the same team with E.J. Manuel at the helm. The Dolphins came back to Earth last week with a thrashing at the hands of the Patriots. I'm going to go with the Bills because they are at home, and they are getting Taylor back, but I'm not confident at all. This game could go either way.
NEW ORLEANS (-7) over Tennessee: The Titans fired head coach Ken Whisenhunt and now they turn to Mike Mularkey as their interim coach. I was surprised by Whisenhunt's firing only because I figured they would give him some time to work with rookie QB Marcus Mariota. I just can't see the Titans playing well enough to cover in New Orleans. The Saints have turned around their season and they stand at 4-4 after last week's wild 52-49 win over the Giants. I see the Saints getting to 5-4 with a resounding home win.
NEW ENGLAND (-13) over Washington: I'm not going against the Patriots at this point, so I'll take them although I hate the high spread. You would figure that the Pats won't mess around in this one and put the Skins out of their misery early. By the way, can we please stop with the idea that the Patriots are going to go undefeated like 2007? They will lose at least 2 games this year. It is just a matter of which ones they lose and at what point. They won't lose this one though.
Green Bay (-3) over CAROLINA: How about this monster game in the NFC? The 7-0 Panthers host the 6-1 Packers. All week I liked the Panthers, but I am still not convinced that they are an elite team in the NFC. I think Green Bay was embarrassed by their performance in Denver last week, and I think they will take out their frustration out this week and play their best game of the season.
Atlanta (-6) over SAN FRANCISCO: The Falcons are 6-2, but they haven't been impressive the last few weeks. They lost a game at home to the Bucs last week, but I think they will rebound nicely this week. Their gift to get them back on track? Blaine Gabbert gets the start for the 49ers as Colin Kaepernick heads to the bench. Dan Quinn has to be licking his chops.
TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Giants: Tough game to call, but I think this will be a tricky one for the Giants in Tampa. I like what I see out of Jameis Winston, and I don't like the inconsistent play of the G-Men. Take the Bucs in an upset.
Philly (-3) over DALLAS: Ugh, what a crappy Sunday Night Football Game on NBC. Although the 3-4 Eagles and the 2-5 Cowboys (without Tony Romo) is not a great matchup in Week9, it will stay on SNF because of the big-market and big-name capabilities of these two NFC East rivals. It is annoying because I would love to see Green Bay-Carolina or even the Vikings-Rams flexed into this spot, but that won't happen with the appeal and attention of the Cowboys and Eagles . Until Tony Romo comes back, I just can't pick the Cowboys.
Chicago (+3) over SAN DIEGO: Another dud game on primetime this week as we get the 2-6 Chargers hosting the 2-5 Bears. As a Broncos fan, why the hell would want to watch this game? We get the long awaited duel between Jay Cutler and Phillip Rivers with bad blood stemming from a 2007 game when Cutler was a Bronco. Maybe Bears head coach John Fox and Chargers head coach Mike McCoy can meet during the pregame and discuss how awful they botched the end of the 2012 Divisional Playoff game that Denver lost to the Ravens? This game could go either way, and I need to pick more underdogs for this week's games, so I'll take the Bears in what should amount to a very one-sided Chicago crowd in San Diego on Monday night.
Wednesday, November 4, 2015
Week 9 TNF Pick
CINCY (-9) over Cleveland: Another weak matchup for a NFL Thursday Night Football. The 7-0 Bengals play host to the Browns, who will turn to Johnny Manziel at QB for the injured Josh McCown. The Bengals get the benefit of going up against Johnny Football on a short week at home. I'll take the Bengals to roll.
Monday, November 2, 2015
Broncos Trade for Vernon Davis
The Broncos made a trade deadline deal with the 49ers on Monday. Denver sent a 6th round pick in 2016 and 2017 to San Francisco in exchange for a 2016 7th round pick and Vernon Davis. Davis will immediately make an impact on this offense, and he now adds a new weapon to Peyton Manning and this offense. This was a very surprising but great move by John Elway to add a real third option to this passing game. The Broncos actually incorporated their two other tight ends into the passing game last night as Virgil Green and Owen Daniels combined for 100 yards in the air in the win over Green Bay. This move will certainly help the Broncos add some more firepower to that position and this offense.
Broncos Dominate Packers to go to 7-0 in Showdown of Unbeatens
The Broncos and Packers met Sunday night in a battle of two 6-0 teams in what was definitely the most anticipated game of this season. One team showed up and looked the part, and one team didn't step up to the plate. The Broncos were the team that showed up and played like a dominant 6-0 team, and they proved it by pouncing the Packers 29-10 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. It was an impressive performance that was almost as close to a perfect game as you can have, and if there was any question about how good this defense is, then this game might have provided the answer. Denver's defense swarmed Aaron Rodgers, and they held the Packers and there offense to only 10 points, 77 yards passing, and 140 yards in total offense. If was a virtuoso performance considering they were going against the best QB in the NFL. Peyton Manning put in a performance that we were used to from the last few years. Manning was in complete command of the offense, and he hit deep and intermediate passes all night long. The running game really got going, and the offensive line keep Manning from getting sacked They finally scored a touchdown on the first drive, and they jumped out to a 17-0 lead and never looked back. The game was never in doubt. It was about as dominating of a win that you can get, and now the Broncos are 7-0 heading into Indy for a rematch with the Colts on Sunday afternoon. Here are my thoughts and observations about the game...
1) This game was what we wanted to see out of this offense all year long. Manning came out firing on all cylinders. There was a lot of play-action, bootlegs, and long-range passes to Demaryius Thomas to get the drive going. The Broncos scored their first touchdown in the first quarter all year, on a 1 yard touchdown run by Ronnie Hillman. That drive really set the tone for the game.
2) Give the defense credit for stepping up their game. They got after Rodgers right from the get go, and the secondary was awesome. Chris Harris, Aqib Talib, and Bradley Roby blanketed the receivers and really Rodgers had nowhere to go with the ball. Also, Demarcus Ware, Von Miller, and Shaq Barrett continued to get after Rodgers and force early throws. They pressured him and harassed him all night long.
3) The key to the second drive was when Manning hit Thomas deep down the sideline for a 47 yard gain to the Green Bay five yard line. It was one of few times Manning hit a pretty deep ball all year long. It was like a throwback to 2013. The play set up a Hillman 15 yard touchdown run and Denver expanded their lead to 14-0.
4) The Broncos offense continued to take control of the game, and on the next drive they started getting the tight ends going with some big throws to Owen Daniels and Virgil Green. Also, C.J. Anderson started to look like the player he was last year, and he burst off a 19 yard run on a crucial 3rd and 2 to set up a field goal and a commanding 17-0 lead.
5) You knew the Packers were going to get back into the game at some point, but the only way they managed to get back in this game was the aid of a pretty shaky roughing the passer call on David Bruton to extend a drive after a third down incompletion. The Pack took advantage of that call and a Eddy Lacy touchdown run made it 17-7 before the half.
6) By the way, how many cheap calls did the refs make on the Broncos? They gave the Packers a few first downs on some really shady holding calls in the secondary. I hate when the refs get themselves too involved in the game.
7) The Broncos gave up a field goal to start the third quarter and all of a sudden it was a 17-10 game, but you knew the Broncos were going to get going again on offense in the second half. After Manning carved up the Packers secondary again with big passes to Thomas and Andre Caldwell, C.J. Anderson capped off the drive with a great 28 yard run on a 3rd and 2 to give Denver a 24-10 lead. It was the perfect answer, and it seemed to take the life out of the Packers.
8) From there, the Broncos defense shut the door on Rodgers and the Packers. A big sack by Antonio Smith ended one drive, and then a swarming attack led by Ware caused a fumble by Rodgers and a safety to make it 26-10 in the 4th quarter.
9) A late field goal made it 29-10, and the Broncos put the finishing touches on one of the more impressive victories the Broncos have had in recent years. I was happy about the victory on a night that they inducted Pat Bowlen into the Ring of Fame. I should have seen this Broncos performance coming because it was a big Sunday night game, and the induction of their owner into the Ring of Fame made this a game the perfect time for this team to break out and play a complete game from start to finish. Kudos to the Broncos for stepping up to the moment.
10) The Broncos defense answered the bell and completely shut down Aaron Rodgers and this offense. The Broncos and Wade Phillips gave Rodgers a tremendous amount of different looks and pressures and they kept him off balance and off his spot all night. They shut down anything on the perimeter with the speed of their linebacking corps. The secondary was lights out as we mentioned before, and it certainly proved that this Broncos defense is not just hype.
11) Peyton Manning was awesome last night, and he was able to quiet down some of his critics. He was 21-29 for 340 yards. He didn't throw a touchdown and he threw one meaningless interception late in the game, but he was sensational all night long. He hit deep balls to Demaryius Thomas, and he constantly cut the Packers defense to shreads down the middle with deep and intermediate throws to DT and the tight ends. He spread the ball around, and he looked comfortable and confident in what the game plan was trying to do. He even did a nice job in the play action game, and he even booted a little bit and it looked good. Don't sleep on Manning. He is not out of the woods yet, but I think last night proved that he isn't done just yet. I'm happy for Manning, and if he continues to roll like this, then look out.
12) The running game finally got going in the fashion that we all expected it to look like before the season started. C.J. Anderson rushed 14 times for 101 yards and 1 touchdown, and Ronnie Hillman ran 19 times for 60 yards and two touchdowns. If this can continue to get better each week, then the Broncos offense will really start to click and get going. The best part about it was Hillman and Anderson really showed their ability last night. Both hit the hole hard and ran with confidence. You felt like they were going to get a first down or a big run everytime they got the ball.
13) Give Gary Kubiak credit for last night's performance. The team looked rested and ready in all three phases of the game, and he gets credit for getting his team prepared for a game of this magnitude. The offensive game plan was really solid and he called a brilliant game. The defense continued to wreak havoc and their game plan was solid as well. That was a big game and Kubiak did a really great job getting his team ready. He completely outcoached Mike McCarthy.
14) The Broncos proved that they are in the discussion of the elite teams in the NFL after last night's game. It was nice to see them wearing the blue jersey and white pants combination that they wore when they defeated the Packers in Super Bowl XXXII. It was fitting on this night that they played as well as they did. It was a signature win for this team this year, and it gets them to 7-0. The last time Denver started 7-0 was in 1998 when they won their second consecutive Super Bowl. The Broncos head to Indy next week to try and get revenge on the Colts from last year's disappointing playoff defeat. Peyton Manning also gets a chance to go back to Indy one more time and get a win against his former team.
1) This game was what we wanted to see out of this offense all year long. Manning came out firing on all cylinders. There was a lot of play-action, bootlegs, and long-range passes to Demaryius Thomas to get the drive going. The Broncos scored their first touchdown in the first quarter all year, on a 1 yard touchdown run by Ronnie Hillman. That drive really set the tone for the game.
2) Give the defense credit for stepping up their game. They got after Rodgers right from the get go, and the secondary was awesome. Chris Harris, Aqib Talib, and Bradley Roby blanketed the receivers and really Rodgers had nowhere to go with the ball. Also, Demarcus Ware, Von Miller, and Shaq Barrett continued to get after Rodgers and force early throws. They pressured him and harassed him all night long.
3) The key to the second drive was when Manning hit Thomas deep down the sideline for a 47 yard gain to the Green Bay five yard line. It was one of few times Manning hit a pretty deep ball all year long. It was like a throwback to 2013. The play set up a Hillman 15 yard touchdown run and Denver expanded their lead to 14-0.
4) The Broncos offense continued to take control of the game, and on the next drive they started getting the tight ends going with some big throws to Owen Daniels and Virgil Green. Also, C.J. Anderson started to look like the player he was last year, and he burst off a 19 yard run on a crucial 3rd and 2 to set up a field goal and a commanding 17-0 lead.
5) You knew the Packers were going to get back into the game at some point, but the only way they managed to get back in this game was the aid of a pretty shaky roughing the passer call on David Bruton to extend a drive after a third down incompletion. The Pack took advantage of that call and a Eddy Lacy touchdown run made it 17-7 before the half.
6) By the way, how many cheap calls did the refs make on the Broncos? They gave the Packers a few first downs on some really shady holding calls in the secondary. I hate when the refs get themselves too involved in the game.
7) The Broncos gave up a field goal to start the third quarter and all of a sudden it was a 17-10 game, but you knew the Broncos were going to get going again on offense in the second half. After Manning carved up the Packers secondary again with big passes to Thomas and Andre Caldwell, C.J. Anderson capped off the drive with a great 28 yard run on a 3rd and 2 to give Denver a 24-10 lead. It was the perfect answer, and it seemed to take the life out of the Packers.
8) From there, the Broncos defense shut the door on Rodgers and the Packers. A big sack by Antonio Smith ended one drive, and then a swarming attack led by Ware caused a fumble by Rodgers and a safety to make it 26-10 in the 4th quarter.
9) A late field goal made it 29-10, and the Broncos put the finishing touches on one of the more impressive victories the Broncos have had in recent years. I was happy about the victory on a night that they inducted Pat Bowlen into the Ring of Fame. I should have seen this Broncos performance coming because it was a big Sunday night game, and the induction of their owner into the Ring of Fame made this a game the perfect time for this team to break out and play a complete game from start to finish. Kudos to the Broncos for stepping up to the moment.
10) The Broncos defense answered the bell and completely shut down Aaron Rodgers and this offense. The Broncos and Wade Phillips gave Rodgers a tremendous amount of different looks and pressures and they kept him off balance and off his spot all night. They shut down anything on the perimeter with the speed of their linebacking corps. The secondary was lights out as we mentioned before, and it certainly proved that this Broncos defense is not just hype.
11) Peyton Manning was awesome last night, and he was able to quiet down some of his critics. He was 21-29 for 340 yards. He didn't throw a touchdown and he threw one meaningless interception late in the game, but he was sensational all night long. He hit deep balls to Demaryius Thomas, and he constantly cut the Packers defense to shreads down the middle with deep and intermediate throws to DT and the tight ends. He spread the ball around, and he looked comfortable and confident in what the game plan was trying to do. He even did a nice job in the play action game, and he even booted a little bit and it looked good. Don't sleep on Manning. He is not out of the woods yet, but I think last night proved that he isn't done just yet. I'm happy for Manning, and if he continues to roll like this, then look out.
12) The running game finally got going in the fashion that we all expected it to look like before the season started. C.J. Anderson rushed 14 times for 101 yards and 1 touchdown, and Ronnie Hillman ran 19 times for 60 yards and two touchdowns. If this can continue to get better each week, then the Broncos offense will really start to click and get going. The best part about it was Hillman and Anderson really showed their ability last night. Both hit the hole hard and ran with confidence. You felt like they were going to get a first down or a big run everytime they got the ball.
13) Give Gary Kubiak credit for last night's performance. The team looked rested and ready in all three phases of the game, and he gets credit for getting his team prepared for a game of this magnitude. The offensive game plan was really solid and he called a brilliant game. The defense continued to wreak havoc and their game plan was solid as well. That was a big game and Kubiak did a really great job getting his team ready. He completely outcoached Mike McCarthy.
14) The Broncos proved that they are in the discussion of the elite teams in the NFL after last night's game. It was nice to see them wearing the blue jersey and white pants combination that they wore when they defeated the Packers in Super Bowl XXXII. It was fitting on this night that they played as well as they did. It was a signature win for this team this year, and it gets them to 7-0. The last time Denver started 7-0 was in 1998 when they won their second consecutive Super Bowl. The Broncos head to Indy next week to try and get revenge on the Colts from last year's disappointing playoff defeat. Peyton Manning also gets a chance to go back to Indy one more time and get a win against his former team.
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