Thursday, September 12, 2019

Broncos-Bears and Week 2 Picks

The Broncos return to the newly named Empower Field at Mile High for their home opener against the Chicago Bears on Sunday. Both teams come into the game at 0-1. The Bears were shutdown by the Packers at home last Thursday night, and the Broncos got run over by the Raiders on Monday Night Football. I have seen a lot of people picking the Bears this weekend, but I think the Broncos could be very dangerous as a home underdog. The crowd in Denver will be fired up, and they will be a factor. Plus, you have Vic Fangio game-planning against his former team. Do you really trust Mitch Trubisky on the road in Denver? I know I might get burned here, but I like the Broncos chances.

Prediction: DENVER (+3) over Chicago
Final Score: Broncos-22 Bears-21

Now, onto the picks for Week 2.............

Last Week's Record: 5-9-2
Overall Record: 5-9-2
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

TENNESSEE (-3) over Indy: I liked what I saw out of the Titans last week in Cleveland. I think the Colts were valiant but look for Tennessee to get to 2-0

DETROIT (+3) over LA Chargers: I never rust the Chargers in early games in other time zones. I think Detroit comes out and plays hard and wins the game outright.

NY GIANTS (+2) over Buffalo: I have no feel for this game other than the fact that the Giants looked awful in their Week 1 loss to the Cowboys, and the Bills barely escaped in a win over the Jets. Who knows how this one plays out.

Arizona (+14) over BALTIMORE: Lamar Jackson vs. Kyler Murray. This could be a very fun game to watch. I think the Ravens will win, but look for the Cards to keep it close and entertaining.

New England (-18) over MIAMI: The Pats will roll and it won't be close at all. Miami is in full tank mode.

WASHINGTON (+6) over Dallas: I think the Cowboys will win the game, but I can see this coming down to the final minutes. I think the Skins will give Dallas everything they can in this game, but they will fall short.

Jacksonville (+9) over HOUSTON:  Houston wins the game and gets to 1-1 after that crazy loss to the Saints on Monday night, but I think Gardner Minshew plays well enough for the Jags to keep it close.

PITTSBURGH (-3) over Seattle: The Steelers will bounce back and get back on track at home against the Seahawks. Look for a big day from Big Ben in what is the best early game of the day.

CINCY (-1) over San Francisco: I have a sneaky suspicion that the Bengals find a way to win this game at home on Sunday. They should have won at Seattle in Week 1.

Minnesota (+3) over GREEN BAY: The second best early game on Sunday features two division rivals going at it in Lambeau. I think the Vikings will play well, and Kirk Cousins will win the game late for the Vikes.

Kansas City (-7) over OAKLAND: Even after the Raiders win over Denver on MNF, I'm still not buying the Raiders. I'll take the Chiefs to roll over them as they seemed to have picked up where they left off last year on offense.

LA RAMS (-3) over New Orleans: In a rematch of the NFC Championship Game, I think the Rams will take care of the Saints at home. I think this is a back and forth game, but look for LA to take it.

ATLANTA (+2) over Philly: I like the Falcons here as a home underdog. I think Philly is the team to beat in the NFC, but I think the Falcons will play inspired since they are 0-1 and returning home.

Cleveland (-2) over NY JETS: Sam Darnold is out for this game with Mono. The Jets lost a brutal game at the hands of the Bills last Sunday, so Jets fans are already besides themselves. Trevor Siemian gets the start. The Browns are 0-1, but I think they come into the Meadowlands and get the much-needed win on Monday Night Football

Week 2 TNF Pick!

CAROLINA (-6) over Tampa Bay

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Broncos Lose Opener at Oakland 24-16

The Broncos went into Oakland on Monday Night Football for the season opener and promptly got stomped by the Raiders 24-16 to start the 2019 season. It wasn't the night we all hoped for and expected, and it certainly was not the way you want to start the season. Here are my thoughts and observations from the game....

1) The Raiders came out and scored on their first possession and completely controlled the game from there. Derek Carr sliced the Broncos with quick passes and rookie RB Josh Jacobs ran well and hard all night long. The Broncos defense had no answer for the Raiders gameplan. There was no pass rush and they had trouble getting the Raiders off the field on third downs.

2) Give Jon Gruden credit because he had his team ready to play and completely outcoached Vic Fangio on this night. The quick passing game made it very difficult for Von Miller or Bradley Chubb to get to Carr. He was basically untouched the whole game.

3) I'm not going to kill Joe Flacco in this game because I don't think he played bad at all. The problem was the Broncos were down 14-0 early in the game, and they were on the road with a shaky offensive line. Flacco didn't have time in some key situations, and he isn't mobile so that is what caused some sacks on those key downs in the first half.

4) Once the Broncos finally got going and cut the lead to 14-3 in the third quarter, Flacco hit DaeSean Hamilton with a perfect pass in the endzone on 3rd and goal, and Hamilton flat-out dropped the ball and the Broncos had to settle for a FG to make it 14-6. That was a killer moment for the Broncos.

5) Even when Denver cut the lead to 24-16 late in the 4th quarter, I never felt comfortable that they were going to get the ball back. The Raiders picked up a first down and ran out the clock to secure the win. The game never felt in doubt for the Raiders all night long.

6) The Broncos entered as favorites due to the Antonio Brown drama the Raiders dealt with in the week leading up to the game, but they came out fired up and Gruden had them ready to go. They used the Brown saga as a rallying point and they were the better team on this night.

7) The Broncos are sent licking their wounds as they dropped Vic Fangio's debut as a head coach. The part that was disappointing the most was the fact that their defense got run over by the Raiders and had no answers for the Oakland offense all night. We knew the Broncos offense wasn't going to light it up on the road, but I expected the defense to play well and they didn't.

8) This game made me feel like nothing has changed from the last two years. Bad offensive football, poor defense, no adjustments, and the feeling that the Broncos are used to getting outcoached and outplayed. The Broncos are used to losing the last two years, and this game was the exact mirror of those two years. It is only one game, and the Broncos started 3-1 and 2-0 the last two years only to have miserable seasons, but you always want to win the first game, and it was disappointing how it played out.

9) The Broncos return home to Mile High and host the 0-1 Bears next Sunday. Vic Fangio gets to go against his old team, and it will be interesting to see how this team plays at home instead of on the road.

Friday, September 6, 2019

Broncos-Raiders Week 1 Preview and Prediction

What a bunch of storylines heading into the season opener for the Broncos at Oakland in the Black Hole on Monday Night Football! The debut of Joe Flacco for Denver, the head coaching debut of Vic Fangio, and the last regular season meeting between the Broncos and Raiders in Oakland are all on the table in this Week One matchup. Also, the Raiders dealt with the Antonio Brown saga and all the craziness involved with him, Jon Gruden, and GM Mike Mayock. It led to the release of Brown on Saturday. There is plenty to talk about regarding this game. To me, I can see the Broncos defense doing a great job on Derek Carr and that Raiders offense for 3+ quarters, but I can see them running out of gas and not being able to hold off the Raiders late. I'm also worried about Joe Flacco on the road in his debut as a Bronco. I think it all adds up to a very frustrating loss for the Broncos at the hands of the Raiders.

Prediction: OAKLAND (-1.5) over Denver

Final Score: Raiders-27 Broncos-20

Bears-Packers Season Opener Pick and Week 1 Picks!

The NFL is back for its' 100th season, and the league decided to celebrate the 100th anniversary by having the Packers and the Bears start the season on the opening Thursday night. The NFL's oldest rivalry takes center stage before giving way to the Pats hosting the Steelers on Sunday night to celebrate their Super Bowl title. Here are previews and the rest of the picks for Week 1 (Can you believe it?) of the 2019 season.....

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

Green Bay (+3) over CHICAGO: I think the Packers will come out flying and take this critical Week 1 matchup over the Bears. The Bears are a team that I think takes a step back this year.

MINNESOTA (-3) over Atlanta: Very interesting game for Week 1, and I love the Vikings at home in this one. I think both teams will make the playoffs in the NFC, but look for the Vikes to get the win in a very good game.

PHILLY (-7) over Washington: The Eagles are my Super Bowl pick, and I think they start off the season red-hot with a blowout win over the Redskins.

NY JETS (-3) over Buffalo: The Jets look to be that surprise team under new head coach Adam Gase and Sam Darnold's sophomore campaign. I think the Jets jump all over the Bills at home in Week 1.

MIAMI (+5) over Baltimore: Miami is tanking in 2019 but I think that they could surprise the Ravens in the heat and humidity in South Florida. There is always a wild surprise in Week 1, and this might be it.

Kansas City (-4) over JACKSONVILLE: Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs offense will continue where they left off in 2018 as they steamroll the Jags in Jacksonville.

CLEVELAND (-5) over Tennessee: The Browns will live up to the hype for Week 1 at least as they get off to a good start with a home win over the Titans.

LA RAMS (-3) over CAROLINA: Here is a sneaky good early game in Week 1. I like the Rams on the road in Carolina, but I think it will be close and the Rams will escape with the win.

Detroit (-2) over ARIZONA: Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury debut at home against the Lions. Both of these teams could be in for a rough year, but I like the Lions to win it on the road.

San Francisco (+2) over TAMPA BAY: Look for a big day out of Jimmy G and the Niners as they go into Tampa and spoil Bruce Arians head coaching debut for the Bucs.

SEATTLE (-8) over Cincy: The Bengals might be vying for the #1 pick in the draft come April, and I think they are walking into a buzzsaw at Seattle in Week 1.

LA CHARGERS (-6) over Indy: This would have been a must watch game for Week 1 until Andrew Luck retired on the Colts. I think the Colts will have trouble recovering from that and the Chargers will roll at home.

NY Giants (+7) over DALLAS: I think the Cowboys will win the game, but I can see the Giants keeping this game close. This is the late window game on FOX and it should do a massive Week 1 rating.

Pittsburgh (+7) over NEW ENGLAND: The Pats open at home on Sunday night as they hoist the Super Bowl banner. The Steelers come in after missing the playoffs last year and moving on from the Antonio Brown and Le'veon Bell distractions. I think the Pats will win, but the Steelers will keep it close.

NEW ORLEANS (-6) over Houston: I like both of these teams to make the playoffs this year, but look for the Saints to get the win over the Texans in the Superdome in the first half of Monday Night Football doubleheader.

Monday, September 2, 2019

Your 2019 Denver Broncos

Ladies and Gentlemen, here are your 2019 Denver Broncos....

QBs:
Joe Flacco, Brandon Allen, Drew Lock (IR-Designated for Return)

RBs:
Philip Lindsay, Royce Freeman, Devontae Booker, Andy Janovich, Theo Riddick (IR-Designated for Return)

WRs:
Emmanuel Sanders, Courtland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton, Tim Patrick, Juwann Winfree, Diontae Spencer

TEs:
Jeff Heuerman, Noah Fant, Trou Fumagalli, Andrew Beck, Jake Butt (IR-Designated for Return)

OL:
Garret Bolles, Dalton Risner, Connor McGovern, Ron Leary, Ja'Wuan James, Elijah Wilkinson, Austin Schlottmann, Corey Levin

DL:
Derek Wolfe, Adam Gotsis, Shelby Harris, DeMarcus Walker, Dre'Mont Jones, Mike Purcell

OLBS:
Von Miller, Bradley Chubb, Malik Reed, Justin Hollins

ILBs:
Todd Davis, Josey Jewell, Corey Nelson, Joe Jones, Alexander Johnson, Keishawn Bierria

CBs:
Chris Harris, Bryce Callahan, Isaac Yiadom, De'Vante Bausby, Duke Dawson, Davontae Harris

Safety:
Kareem Jackson, Justin Simmons, Will Parks, Trey Marshall

K: Brandon McManus

P: Colby Wadman

LS: Casey Kreiter 


Tuesday, August 27, 2019

2019 NFL Predictions

With the NFL season right around the corner, here are my predictions heading into the season. Once again, I tried to think outside the box a little bit. In the NFC, I looked at Chicago and Seattle as teams that will take a step back this year with Green Bay, Atlanta, and the Vikings getting back into the playoff mix. Over in the AFC, I think Baltimore and the Chargers miss out on the playoffs this year, and Indy won't be able to recover from Andrew Luck's shocking retirement. Look for the Browns to live up to the hype, and the Jets to be the surprise team to get into the playoffs. Overall, I have 6 playoff teams returning this year to the playoffs in 2019 and six teams not making it back. Here are my predictions for the 2019 NFL season...

NFC East
1) Philly (12-4)
2) Dallas (9-7) Wild Card
3) NY Giants (7-9)
4) Washington (5-11)

NFC North
1) Minnesota (11-5)
2) Green Bay (10-6) Wild Card
3) Chicago (8-8)
4) Detroit (4-12)

NFC South
1) New Orleans (10-6)
2) Atlanta (9-7)
3) Carolina (8-8)
4) Tampa Bay (6-10)

NFC West
1) LA Rams (9-7)
2) Seattle (8-8)
3) SF (7-9)
4) Arizona (4-12)

Playoff Predictions
Wild Card Weekend 
3-New Orleans over 6-Dallas  (The Saints topple the Cowboys at home to move on in their quest to get to the Super Bowl after two stunning defeats in the playoffs the last two years)
5-Green Bay over 4-LA Rams (Aaron Rodgers and the Packers return to the playoffs and notch their first playoff win since 2016 with a big win in LA over the Rams)

Divisional Round
1-Philadelphia over 5-Green Bay (The Eagles thwart Aaron Rodgers in Philly and move on to their second NFC Championship Game in three years)
3-New Orleans over 2-Minnesota (The Saints go into Minnesota and upset the Vikings, get revenge from the 2017 Divisional Playoff loss, and head to their second straight NFC Championship Game)

NFC Championship Game
1-Philadelphia over 3-New Orleans (The Eagles with Carson Wentz head to their second Super Bowl in three years by knocking off the Saints at home in a very tight NFC Title matchup)

AFC Predictions

AFC East
1) New England (11-5)
2) New York Jets (9-7) Wild Card
3) Buffalo (6-10)
4) Miami (5-11)

AFC North
1) Pittsburgh (12-4)
2) Cleveland (10-6) Wild Card
3) Baltimore (7-9)
4) Cincinnati (5-11)

AFC South
1) Houston (10-6)
2) Jacksonville (8-8)
3) Tennessee (7-9)
4) Indianapolis (6-10)

AFC West
1) Kansas City (12-4)
2) Denver (8-8)
3) LA Chargers (7-9)
4) Oakland (6-10)

Playoff Predictions
Wild Card Weekend
(3) New England over (6) NY Jets (The Jets make their first playoff appearance since 2010, but the Pats roll at home and advance to the Divisional Round once again)
(4) Houston over (5) Cleveland (The Browns make their first playoff appearance since 2002, but they fall short to Deshaun Watson and the Texans, as Houston moves on)

Divisional Round
(1) Kansas City over (4) Houston (Pat Mahomes leads the Chiefs to the AFC Championship Game for the second year in a row after disposing of the Texans in Arrowhead)
(2) Pittsburgh over (3) New England (In a classic matchup, the Steelers outlast the Patriots and head to the AFC Championship for the first time since 2016. The Pats fail to advance to the AFC Title game for the first time since 2010)

AFC Championship Game
(1) Kansas City over (2) Pittsburgh (The Chiefs, a year after losing the AFC Title game at home, finally return back to the Super Bowl for the first time since Super Bowl IV with a victory over the Steelers)

SUPER BOWL LIV
Philadelphia Eagles over Kansas City Chiefs (The Eagles win their second Super Bowl in three years as they defeat their former coach, Andy Reid, and the Chiefs. Carson Wentz outlasts Pat Mahomes in a classic shootout and wins the Super Bowl MVP award.