Here are my week 1 Picks. Week 1 is always hard and there are some interesting games on tap. I like to stay away from heavy favorites the opening week.
*If I was picking one game for a suicide game this week, I'd go with Philadelphia.
NY Giants (-3) over Washington
Baltimore (+2) over Cincy
Miami (+3) over NY Jets
Kansas City (+16) over New England
Pittsburgh (-6.5) over Houston
Jacksonville (-3) over Tennessee
Detroit (-3) over Atlanta
Buffalo (PK) over Seattle
Tampa Bay (+3.5) over New Orleans
Philadelphia (-7) over St. Louis
Dallas (-5) over Cleveland
Carolina (+9) over San Diego
San Francisco (+2.5) over Arizona
Chicago (+9.5) over Indianapolis
Minnesota (+2.5) over Green Bay
Denver (-3) over Oakland
Sunday, August 31, 2008
Sunday, August 17, 2008
AFC Predicitions 2008
The AFC is the stronger conference. The Big 3 of Indy, NE and San Diego are the three best teams in the league. On paper teams like Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Tennessee seem to be ready to take the next step. The problem with those four teams is that there are stuck in a very bad division. Also, their schedule is a mine field. I went against the grain a little bit and picked some real sleepers in the AFC.
AFC EAST
1- New England (12-4) Too much talent for NE to suffer a Super Bowl hangover.
2- New York Jets (10-6) The Jets were much improved before they got Favre. Brett leads them back into the playoffs as a wild card.
3-Buffalo (5-11) The Bills don't have a real threat at QB and struggle all year long.
4- Miami (4-12) Year 1 of the Sparano/Parcells rebuilding project shows some promise.
AFC NORTH
1-Cincinnatti (10-6) The Bengals suprise everyone and take the division. Palmer, TJ and Chad lead the way.
2-Pittsburgh (9-7) A brutal schedule catches up with the Steelers and they fall short of the playoffs.
3- Cleveland (8-8) Everyone's bandwagon team disappoints and finishes .500.
4- Baltimore (6-10) They will win some games early but won't be able to sustain it throughout the year.
AFC SOUTH
1-Indianapolis (11-5) Indy won't get to the 12 win mark for the 6th straight year, but they have Peyton Manning and that is all you need.
2-Jacksonville (9-7) Jax falls short of playoffs despite being a strong team.
3-Houston (8-8) A possible sleeper that is maybe 1 year away.
4- Tennessee (6-10) Their defense can only do so much. Vince Young will struggle.
AFC WEST
1-San Diego (12-4) The class of the division. Can hang with any team on any Sunday.
2-Denver (10-6) I'm a Bronco fan and I never pick Denver to make the playoffs. Why not Denver? Maybe Cutler puts them on his back and gets them in as a wild card.
3-Oakland (6-10) Raiders are explosive but I think 2009 may be when they really return.
4- Kansas City (3-13) A young team in a rebuiliding situation. Herm will have them play hard every week.
AFC Playoffs:
1- San Diego
2- New England
3-Indy
4- Cincy
5- New York Jets
6- Denver
AFC TITLE GAME: San Diego over Indy
AFC EAST
1- New England (12-4) Too much talent for NE to suffer a Super Bowl hangover.
2- New York Jets (10-6) The Jets were much improved before they got Favre. Brett leads them back into the playoffs as a wild card.
3-Buffalo (5-11) The Bills don't have a real threat at QB and struggle all year long.
4- Miami (4-12) Year 1 of the Sparano/Parcells rebuilding project shows some promise.
AFC NORTH
1-Cincinnatti (10-6) The Bengals suprise everyone and take the division. Palmer, TJ and Chad lead the way.
2-Pittsburgh (9-7) A brutal schedule catches up with the Steelers and they fall short of the playoffs.
3- Cleveland (8-8) Everyone's bandwagon team disappoints and finishes .500.
4- Baltimore (6-10) They will win some games early but won't be able to sustain it throughout the year.
AFC SOUTH
1-Indianapolis (11-5) Indy won't get to the 12 win mark for the 6th straight year, but they have Peyton Manning and that is all you need.
2-Jacksonville (9-7) Jax falls short of playoffs despite being a strong team.
3-Houston (8-8) A possible sleeper that is maybe 1 year away.
4- Tennessee (6-10) Their defense can only do so much. Vince Young will struggle.
AFC WEST
1-San Diego (12-4) The class of the division. Can hang with any team on any Sunday.
2-Denver (10-6) I'm a Bronco fan and I never pick Denver to make the playoffs. Why not Denver? Maybe Cutler puts them on his back and gets them in as a wild card.
3-Oakland (6-10) Raiders are explosive but I think 2009 may be when they really return.
4- Kansas City (3-13) A young team in a rebuiliding situation. Herm will have them play hard every week.
AFC Playoffs:
1- San Diego
2- New England
3-Indy
4- Cincy
5- New York Jets
6- Denver
AFC TITLE GAME: San Diego over Indy
NFC Predictions-2008
I start my 2008 NFL Predictions with the NFC. The NFC is probably considered to be weaker then the AFC. The big favorites coming into '08 are Dallas, New York, and Seattle. However, if you look at, there are some really good teams that are ready for a bounce back season.
NFC EAST
1- Philadelphia (11-5) Bounce back year for Andy Reid, Donovan McNabb and the Eagles.
2- Dallas (10-6) The Cowboys lose out on the division, but they earn a wild card berth.
3-New York Giants (10-6) Giants make the playoffs but will have to go on the road throughout again.
4- Washington (7-9) Year One of The Jim Zorn Era has some rough moments.
NFC NORTH
1-Chicago (10-6) Defense and Special Teams leads the Bears back atop the Division.
2-Green Bay (8-8) Too much pressure for Rodgers and McCarthy as Pack miss playoffs.
3-Minnesota (6-10) Tarvaris Jackson isn't the answer and Vikings disappoint.
4- Detroit (6-10) The end of the Rod Marinelli era in Detroit.
NFC SOUTH
1-New Orleans (11-5) Big year for the Saints. Could be the team to beat in the NFC.
2-Carolina (9-7) Good bounce back year for John Fox and Jake Delhomme, but Panthers just miss out of the playoffs.
3-Tampa Bay (7-9) Bucs won't repeat as Division Champs and have a real tough year.
4- Atlanta (3-13) Falcons are rebuilding and look to 2009.
NFC West
1-Seattle (11-5) Just the class of a really bad division. Holmgren's team repeats as division champs.
2-St. Louis (8-8) Scott Linehan saves his job for one more season.
3-Arizona (6-10) QB controversy proves to be too much for Cardinals.
4- San Francisio (4-12) No great options at QB probably sends Mike Nolan packing.
Playoffs:
1-Philly
2-New Orleans
3-Seattle
4-Chicago
5-Dallas
6-New York Giants
NFC Title Game: New Orleans over Philly
NFC EAST
1- Philadelphia (11-5) Bounce back year for Andy Reid, Donovan McNabb and the Eagles.
2- Dallas (10-6) The Cowboys lose out on the division, but they earn a wild card berth.
3-New York Giants (10-6) Giants make the playoffs but will have to go on the road throughout again.
4- Washington (7-9) Year One of The Jim Zorn Era has some rough moments.
NFC NORTH
1-Chicago (10-6) Defense and Special Teams leads the Bears back atop the Division.
2-Green Bay (8-8) Too much pressure for Rodgers and McCarthy as Pack miss playoffs.
3-Minnesota (6-10) Tarvaris Jackson isn't the answer and Vikings disappoint.
4- Detroit (6-10) The end of the Rod Marinelli era in Detroit.
NFC SOUTH
1-New Orleans (11-5) Big year for the Saints. Could be the team to beat in the NFC.
2-Carolina (9-7) Good bounce back year for John Fox and Jake Delhomme, but Panthers just miss out of the playoffs.
3-Tampa Bay (7-9) Bucs won't repeat as Division Champs and have a real tough year.
4- Atlanta (3-13) Falcons are rebuilding and look to 2009.
NFC West
1-Seattle (11-5) Just the class of a really bad division. Holmgren's team repeats as division champs.
2-St. Louis (8-8) Scott Linehan saves his job for one more season.
3-Arizona (6-10) QB controversy proves to be too much for Cardinals.
4- San Francisio (4-12) No great options at QB probably sends Mike Nolan packing.
Playoffs:
1-Philly
2-New Orleans
3-Seattle
4-Chicago
5-Dallas
6-New York Giants
NFC Title Game: New Orleans over Philly
Sunday, August 10, 2008
NFL Predictions Formula!!!
As I start out my Inagural NFL Predictions, I just want to make a few points clear. First, if anyone is going to make predictions related to the NFL season they must take into account that the NFL has 32 teams playing 16 games. If you multiply 32 x 16 you get a total of 512. Each game is decided and very, very rarely is there a tie. Now, if you are going to predict the records of each team, then every team's wins cannot exceed 256 and every team's losses cannot exceed 256. Every year experts from ESPN, NFL Network, SI, and all other newspapers always make predictions and fail to take this into account. If you are going to pick every team's record, then do it the right way. All of my picks will be given with a record and all of those records will correspond with the number of games played in the NFL season. Next, I want to unveil my NFL Picking Formula. Each year the NFL goes under some sort of turmoil. Division winners end up missing the playoffs, some playoff teams end up in last place in their division, and Super Bowl teams ending up falling apart. There is a way to predict these kind of changes. Usually about half of the previous season's playoff teams fail to make the playoffs. 6 out of the 12 teams won't be back in the playoffs the next year, and about half of the division winners don't repeat the next year too. If you want evidence take a look at each playoff year since the NFL realigned in 2002. In 2003, 2/8 Division Winners and 4/12 playoff teams returned. In 2004, it was 4/8 Division Winners and 7/12 playoff teams. In '05, it was 3/8 and 5/12. In 2006, it was 4/8 and 5/12. In 2007, it was 4/8 and 6/12. The evidence is all there. So if you are going to pick every division winner and playoff participants, it most likely will be 4 out of 8 repeat division winners and 6 out of 12 playoff returnees. I will use this formula this season when I make my picks. Coming Soon: NFC WEST PREDICITIONS!!!!!
Friday, August 8, 2008
NFL Predictions Coming Soon
As the first set of preseason games get underway this weekend, I figured I would check in to give a time frame for my Inagural NFL Predictions. I will pick the records, standings, and finishes for each NFL team this season. Hell, it might be worthless but I will even throw in my Super Bowl picks. I will also unveil my "Formula For Predictions." I have come up with several ways to help you predict the NFL season. As for now, sit back and enjoy Week 1 of the NFL preseason and pray that no one on your favorite team tears an ACL, suffers a concussion, or breaks any bones.
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