Saturday, November 21, 2015

Broncos-Bears Preview and Week 11 Picks

The Broncos head to Chicago to take on the Bears and for a team that is 7-2 you would think the Broncos are a team that is on the brink of disaster. Yes, they have lost two in a row. Yes, Peyton Manning is hurt and out for an uncertain amount of time. Yes, this is Brock Osweiler's first start, but they are still 7-2 all is not totally lost. The one thing about this game that is going to be tough is the fact that Osweiler's first start has to come on the road, against his former coach and offensive coordinator, and it is going to be like 28 degrees at Soldier Field on Sunday. That is a very tough way to start your QB career. Look, Peyton Manning hasn't been great this year, but he still made enough big throws in big spots in some of these close games to help the Broncos win. That will be the challenge for Brock. Can he make the big third down or redzone throw to help the Broncos win? It is tough to see him doing that in this situation..

CHICAGO (-1) over Denver
Final Score: Bears-22 Broncos-10

Last Week's Record: 4-10
Overall Record: 65-75-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

CAROLINA (-7) over Washington: I can't see Washington going on the road and taking down the undefeated Panthers. I think this will be a close game, but look for Cam Newton and company to get to 10-0.

Oakland (-1) over DETROIT: The Raiders got thumped at home last week against the Vikings, and now they find themselves at 4-5 with a big road game in Detroit. I would expect the Raiders to bounce back and do a number on the Lions in Ford Field.

Dallas (PICK) over MIAMI: I have no idea how this game is going to play out, but for the Dolphins this game is huge. At 4-5, they can right the ship on their season again. The Cowboys are banking on Tony Romo's return as a way to get their season somehow back on track. I'll take the Cowboys just for fun.

ATLANTA (-5) over Indy: The Falcons have fallen to 6-3 after starting 5-0. Now, they get the Colts coming to town without Andrew Luck. The Falcons have to get a win here or their season could go down the tubes fast.

St. Louis (+3) over BALTIMORE: The Ravens are mess at 2-7, and they lost a brutal game at home to the Jaguars last week. The Rams come in at 4-5 and losers of their last two games. They have to somehow get a win this week, and they benched Nick Foles in favor of Case Keenum. We'll see how that works, but I think they will find a way this week on the road.

New York Jets (-2) over HOUSTON: This game matches the 5-4 Jets going up against the 4-5 Texans. The Jets get the opportunity to bring their defense on the road against a backup QB for the Texans with T.J. Yates filling in for the injured Brian Hoyer. I like the Jets a lot in this game.

Green Bay (+2) over MINNESOTA: Huge game in the NFC North as the division leading Vikings at 7-2 host the 6-3 Packers. I know Green Bay's offense is struggling and I know that the Vikings have looked really good, but I'll take the Packers to right the ship and get back to the top of the division.

Tampa Bay (+6) over PHILLY: I just can't figure out the Eagles. At 4-5, they host Tampa this week with Mark Sanchez starting over the injured Sam Bradford. I think the Eagles will find a way to win the game, but I think the 4-5 Bucs will keep it very close to the end. Call this 23-20 either way.

Cincy (+5) over ARIZONA: This game got flexed into the SNF game on NBC. This is very good matchup as the 8-1 Bengals head to Arizona to take on the 7-2 Cardinals. Could this be a Super Bowl preview? Perhaps, but the Bengals played very poorly in their loss to Houston on Monday night. The Cards looked great in their wild win in Seattle on Sunday night last week. I think the Cards have a little bit of a letdown this week, and the Bengals will make up for their terrible performance and get a huge road win.

SEATTLE (-10) over San Francisco: The Seahawks are struggling at 4-5, but there is no way they are losing at home this week to the 49ers. If they do, then all hell is going to break loose up there.

SAN DIEGO (+3) over Kansas City: Before we anoint the Chiefs as the AFC West champs, let's not forget that their win over the Broncos last week deserves an asterisk because that was an injured Peyton Manning that they beat up on. At 4-5, they are in range for the division, but they still have work to do. The Chargers play host to them this week, and the Chargers are in desperate need of a win at 2-7. I have a feeling the Chargers will pull the upset at home this week and put a dent into the Chiefs chances.

Buffalo (+7) over NEW ENGLAND: The Pats are 9-0 and they are definitely the team to beat in the AFC, but they have suffered two tough injuries the last two weeks. RB Dion Lewis and WR Julian Edelman were both lost for a significant time period, and they has to somehow affect their offense. Rex Ryan always plays the Pats tough, and I think he will have the Bills prepared and ready to go. I think the Pats win, but look for the Bills to keep it close.


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