Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Broncos-Chiefs and Week 4 Picks!

The Broncos are rare home underdog as they take on the red-hot Chiefs in Denver on Monday Night Football. I read that the Broncos are home underdogs to the Chiefs for only the second time in 20 years. The Chiefs and Pat Mahomes are on fire, and it is hard to think that Denver can slow them down. The Broncos are giving up big plays in the secondary the first three weeks, and I can't see how they are going to figure out a way to stop Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce. Plus, you have Andy Reid scheming against Vance Joseph and Joe Woods. Not a good matchup in Denver's favor. The Broncos will have the advantage of being at home with that crowd noise, but I think they won't be able to keep up with the Chiefs.

Prediction: Kansas City (-3) over DENVER
Final Score: Chiefs-31 Broncos-17

Now, onto the picks for Week 4 in National Football League....

Last Week's Record: 6-9-0
Overall Record: 20-24-2
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Cincy (+5) over ATLANTA: I don't like what I have seen from the 1-2 Falcons so far this year. The Bengals are 2-1 coming off a road loss at Carolina last week, but I think they rebound and might win outright in Atlanta this week.

CHICAGO (-2) over Tampa Bay: The Bears should be able to use their homefield advantage and let that defense unleash on the Bucs offense. Both teams come into the game at 2-1 and it will be interesting to see who leaves at 3-1.

DALLAS (-3) over Detroit: Both teams come in at 1-2, so the loser is in trouble at 1-3. I don't think the Cowboys are very good, but I can see them doing enough here to win the game and get to 2-2.

GREEN BAY (-9) over Buffalo: I know the Bills went on the road and beat the Vikings, but I think that game is an anomaly. I don't believe the Bills have turned around their season. The Packers are 1-1-1, but I would think that they will do enough to get going at home and win the game comfortably.

Philly (-3) over TENNESSEE: I think Carson Wentz is the best young QB in the league, and I would take him over almost anyone else. I think he does enough to get the Eagles by with another win in a tough spot at Tennessee.

Houston (+2) over INDY: Houston has to win at some point right? Everyone is taking the Colts, but I like the Texans to get their first win and get to 1-3.

NEW ENGLAND (-6) over Miami: Miami is 3-0 but I don't think they are very good. Now, they head to NE to take on the 1-2 Pats. Until the Pats are dead and buried, I won't go against them in certain spots. I'll take them here to get to 2-2.

NY Jets (+9) over JACKSONVILLE: I know Sam Darnold is going up against that Jacksonville defense on the road, and I think the Jags will win, but I'm not taking Blake Bortles with a nine point spread. I'm just not doing that.

Cleveland (+3) over OAKLAND: I think the Raiders probably get their first win of the year, but I want to root for Baker Mayfield, and I want to root against the Raiders, so I'll go with the Browns to make it two in a row.

Seattle (-3) over ARIZONA: Josh Rosen makes his first start of his career, and the Seahawks get to tee off on him. This is probably going to be an ugly game, but I'll take Seattle to pull it out and get to 2-2.

New Orleans (-3) over NY GIANTS: The Giants saved their season with a win over Houston last week to get to 1-2. The Saints are 2-1 with a win over the Falcons last week. I think the Saints take it on the road and overwhelm the Giants and get to 3-1.

LA CHARGERS (-7) over San Francisco: Jimmy G is done for the year and so are the hopes for the Niners. The Chargers will get to 2-2 with an easy home win.

PITTSBURGH (-3) over Baltimore: Great game Sunday night featuring the 2-1 Ravens and the 1-1-1 Steelers. Classic rivalry game, and I think the line is low enough to pick the Steelers and I think they righted the ship early in this season.

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