Another good picking week gives me an overall record of 46-28-2. Eighteen games over .500 picking games against the spread this year. EIGHTEEN GAMES OVER!!! What has been the secret to my success? It has been pretty simple: There aren't that many really great teams this year. This season has the look of one of those parity driven NFL years. 7-9 might win the NFC West. 9-7 might win the AFC West and NFC East, and you might only need 11 wins to get the one seed in NFC, and there will be a lot of 9-7 teams fighting for AFC Wild Card spots. I have picked a lot more underdogs this year as opposed to year's past. Don't jump all over the favorites this year because every team with the exception of the Jets, Ravens, and Steelers have major flaws and concerns. Let's see if my gambling prowess can continue as we hit Week 6. Onto the picks.....
Last Week's record: 9-5
Overal Record: 46-28-2
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
San Diego (-7) over ST.LOUIS: I admire the way the Rams and Sam Bradford have played so far this year, but this is a tough week for them. It's hard to see the Chargers not coming out and blowing this game open early. The Chargers get back to 3-3.
Kansas City (+5) over HOUSTON: The Texans fell flat on their face last week at home vs. the Giants. Maybe the Texans aren't as good as we were all lead to believe. The Chiefs stand at 3-1 and played Indy tight on the road. KC pulls the upset and continues their surprising start.
NEW ENGLAND (-2) over Baltimore: The Ravens stand at 4-1 and look very good, but the Pats had this game circled on their schedule the moment the NFL released the 2010 table. The Pats get revenge from last year's playoff loss in Foxboro.
TAMPA BAY (+4) over New Orleans: Give the Bucs credit: They won a huge game on the road at Cincy in a gutty fashion. I'm not a Josh Freeman fan, but he has played well. Something is just off with the Saints offense, and it continues this week. This will be a close game throughout.
Atlanta (+3) over PHILLY: The Eagles are so much better with Michael Vick, and Atlanta looks like the real deal. The Falcons haven't won impressively, but they are winning. The Falcons win a close game in Philly to go to 5-1.
Detroit (+11) over NY GIANTS: The Giants look like they got their season going again with back to back wins. They lead the NFC East with a 3-2 record. The G-Men will beat the Lions at home, but this game will be a lot closer then people think. Detroit will play well and give the Giants some trouble for a while in this one.
CHICAGO (-6) over Seattle: This game hinged on one factor: Homefield advantage. If it was played in Seattle, then I would take the Seahawks. It is in Chicago, so I see the Bears beating up on the road-weary Seahawks, and Chicago gets to 5-1.
Miami (+4) over GREEN BAY: You can't like what you have seen from the Packers these last three weeks. Miami is a good team and they will bounce back from their two straight defeats. Even if Aaron Rodgers plays, I like the Dolphins.
Cleveland (+13) over PITTSBURGH: Welcome to the NFL, Colt McCoy! This looks like a big time blowout, but I think Big Ben's rustiness keeps this game close for a little bit.
SAN FRANCISCO (-6) over Oakland: The Niners need a win bad. At 0-5 it is sad that they are still in the hunt in the NFC West. SF gets their first win of the year with a win over the Raiders.
Dallas (+2) over MINNESOTA: The Desperation Bowl. Both teams come in at 1-3, and both were favorites to respresent the NFC in the Super Bowl. This is a tough call, but I just don't like how Brett Favre is playing, so I will take the Cowboys. I also wouldn't count out the loser of this game at 1-4.
Indy (-3) over WASHINGTON: The Skins are playing gritty, but Peyton Manning will be too much for them on SNF.
Tennessee (-3) over JACKSONVILLE: This is the worst matchup on MNF this year. Why would ESPN want these two teams for a Monday Night game? The Titans pull one out on the road against a feisty Jacksonville team.
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