Friday, October 22, 2010

Week 7 Picks in the NFL!

We hit Week 7 of the NFL season and one of the most interesting questions to look at is who will win the AFC and NFC West divisions? Could you imagine if St. Louis wins the NFC West? It is actually very possible. Is Kansas City for real? Are the Chargers going to make another run in November and December? Will the Seahawks steal the West? All these possibilities could occur, but one thing is for sure, the NFL won't be too happy with some of the playoff and television probabilities come January. Think about it: Let's say that St.Louis wins the NFC West and Kansas City wins the AFC West. Both of those teams are given a home playoff game. Could you imagine the networks (CBS, FOX, and NBC) all fighting to get the other games that playoff weekend? There would be more backdoor wheeling and dealing like no other year before this one. Trying to sell Ravens at Chiefs and Falcons at Rams is a tough one for the audience. How about a Philly at Seattle first round matchup? Does that get the juices going or what? It will be fun to see who wins the West and how it all plays out on the NFL playoff landscape. Onto the picks for Week 7.............

Last Week's Record: 7-6-1
Overall Record: 53-34-3
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Pittsburgh (-3) over MIAMI: This is a great AFC matchup. I was going to pick the Dolphins all week, but something just tells me that the Steelers D will be too much for Chad Henne. The Steelers win a big road game in Miami to go to 5-1.

ATLANTA (-3) over Cincy: The Falcons are a much better home team then on the road. Look for Atlanta to bounce back this week against a struggling Cincy team. The Bengals will play hard and keep this close, but Matt Ryan makes a play or two to win it. Looks like 24-20 to me.

Jacksonville (+9) over KANSAS CITY: First, KC is for real, and I think they will win the AFC West at 10-6. Secondly, the Chiefs will win this game over the Jags. Third, the Jags will keep it close and play very well. This game looks like a KC blowout on paper, but it will be closer then people think. KC wins 27-20.

TENNESSEE (-3) over Philly: I love this game for the Titans. Both teams come in at 4-2 and Philly surprised me last week. The ongoing Kevin Kolb-Michael Vick saga will be one of the most interesting issues to watch this year in the NFL. It could determine if Philly makes the playoffs or not. Too much Chris Johnson and even if Vince Young doesn't play, I like the Titans at home.

Washington (+3) over CHICAGO: Think back to December of 2008 when the Broncos were 8-5 and on the verge of a division title with Mike Shanahan and Jay Cutler as the Coach and QB combo. It looked like a marriage for years to come and one that would bring Denver back to the Super Bowl. Just two seasons later, Cutler is on the Bears and Shanahan is coaching the Redskins and they are facing off this week. Just a strange scenario and pretty shocking to think about where these two were just a few seasons ago. The Bears O-Line is awful and got exposed again last week. The Skins are solid defensively and take care of business on the road.

Cleveland (+14) over NEW ORLEANS: First, New Orleans will win this game at home. Second, the Saints are not back just yet even after winning in Tampa last week by 24 points. The Browns will keep it close, even at the Superdome. Look for a ho-hum victory by the Saints.

BALTIMORE (-13) over Buffalo: I just can't make a case for the Bills this week. This is such a mismatch. The Ravens will go to 5-2 and the Bills will fall to 0-6. This one should be over at the half.

CAROLINA (+3) over San Francisco: I don't think the 49ers have fixed any of their issues, and the Panthers are due for a victory. They go back to Matt Moore this week, and I think they take down the 49ers at home.

TAMPA BAY (-3) over St.Louis: I'm openly rooting for the Rams to win the NFC West. I would love to see. I like Sam Bradford and I like Steve Spagnuolo. I think the Bucs squeak by in this one, and I have been impressed with Josh Freeman this year.

SEATTLE (-6) over Arizona: No one should be a six point favorite over anyone else in the NFC West. All the teams suck, and each game should be competitive. I like the Seahawks at home this week. Last week was a huge win for them in Chicago. That might be the kind of win that gets them going in the NFC West.

SAN DIEGO (-3) over New England: We've seen this before: The Chargers get off to a rocky start in September and October, and then they make a move and win the West. One of these years it is not going to work for them, and it might be this year. However, I love the Chargers in this spot, and I think they take care of the Pats at home. This should be a fun and entertaining game.

GREEN BAY (-2) over Minnesota: I was very tempted to take the Vikings, but I think the Packers are a good team, and they will start to play better. Aaron Rodgers will outduel Brett Favre and the Packers get revenge on Favre for the two losses he handed to them last year.

DALLAS (-3) over NY Giants: When Dallas was 0-2, I didn't pick them against the 2-0 Texans. Dallas won. Now they are 1-4 and are facing the 4-2 Giants. The Cowboys are desperate so I will take them on MNF. If they lose, then the shit is going to hit the fan.

Oakland (+8) over DENVER: Anyone who knows anything about the recent history of the Broncos and the Raiders knows that this line is way too high. It will be hard for the Broncos to match the intensity of last week's game against the Jets. The Raiders have won the last two games in Denver, and the Broncos have trouble matching up against the Raider running game. Hopefully, Denver's new defensive line will stop the Raiders, but this game will be close. It should be a tight one, but you would have to think the Broncos will somehow pull out a victory. Denver needs to win this game, and I think they will, but it will be a nailbiter. Final Score: Denver-22 Oakland-20

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