Saturday, November 30, 2013

Week 13 Picks!

Last Week: 7-6-1
Overall Record: 88-80-10
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

INDY (-3) over Tennessee: The Colts have been bad the past few weeks, but I think they get on track this week. At 7-4, a win over the Titans here will all but lock up the AFC South, and the Colts will roll with a big home win.

Jacksonville (+9) over CLEVELAND: Why not take the terrible Jags getting 9 points on the road? When Brandon Weeden is involved, you can't trust the Browns as home favorites.

Tampa Bay (+8) over CAROLINA: You have to be impressed with how the Bucs have played the last month. They will probably lose this game to the Panthers, but I think this game will be close.

Chicago (+1) over MINNESOTA: Bears at 6-5 desperately need a win to stay with the Lions in the NFC North. I see them getting that win this week on the road.

PHILLY (-2) over Arizona: Fun game in the NFC playoff picture. The Cards are a dangerous team right now, but I think Philly continues the hot hand and gets a win late. This feels like a 23-20 game either way.

NY JETS (-1) over Miami: The Jets and Geno Smith have struggled the last two weeks, but I like this matchup for a few reasons. First, the Jets defense will be able to get after Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins offense. Secondly, the Jets are good at home, and it will be a cold day in the Meadowlands which will play into their favor.

Atlanta (+4) over BUFFALO: The Falcons have to win another game this year right? I'll take them over the Bills in Toronto. By the way, the Falcons could end up with a top-5 pick in next year's draft, and be right back in the hunt in 2014.

SAN FRANCISCO (-7) over St. Louis: The Rams are playing feisty, but I think the Niners will take care of them at home. Look for SF to gut out a win and move to 8-4.

New England (-7) over HOUSTON: The Pats are riding the momentum of their 24 point comeback win over the Broncos last Sunday night. The Texans have lost nine games in a row after starting 2-0. The Pats will bury Houston on Sunday and push that streak to 10.

SAN DIEGO (-1) over Cincy: Interesting game in the AFC. I think the Bengals will get to 10 wins and win their division, and my money is on the Chargers on getting the 6th seed right now even though they are 5-6. Look for a SD win in a crucial matchup.

WASHINGTON (+1) over New York Giants: What a dud game for NBC's Sunday Night Football this week. Both teams are toast as far as the playoffs are concerned, so I'l take the Redskins at home.

New Orleans (+7) over SEATTLE: Great game on Monday Night Football. The winner gets the inside track on the #1 seed in the NFC. I know how good the Seahawks are at home, but I got a feeling that Drew Brees will find a way to pick apart that Seattle secondary, and find a way to win this game outright.

KANSAS CITY (+5) over Denver: This line is way too high. Think about these things as Denver heads to KC this week: First, the Broncos are coming off an emotional loss at New England on Sunday night. The game went into overtime, so now the Broncos have to head back out on the road and go play KC in noisy Arrowhead. Second, Denver has many concerns on the injury front. Julius Thomas, Champ Bailey, Knowshon Moreno, and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie are all listed as questionable for this game. Kevin Vickerson is out for the season and Derek Wolfe didn't make the trip because he is in the hospital after suffering seizure-like symptoms. This just doesn't seem like a game that the Broncos are going to win. I have a bad feeling about this one.

Final Score: Chiefs-31 Broncos-21


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