By the time Week 4 is over, then 25% of the NFL season will be over. What do we know about the Broncos at this point? Let's take a look before we dive into the Week 4 picks.
Offensively, the Broncos are a work in progress. Their offensive line is not where it needs to be yet. Now, they are dealing with another injury as Ty Sambraillo is probably out this week with a shoulder injury. Their running game is non-existent. We know they have two top weapons at receiver in Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Peyton Manning looked like the vintage Peyton Manning last week in the win over the Lions. Manning will continue to get more comfortable each week, and by the end of the season this offense will be more consistent than it is now.
Defensively, they are just awesome. The pass rush is insane, and it isn't just Demarcus Ware and Von Miller. Both of those guys have been great, but guys like Malik Jackson and even Shaq Barrett have provided a rush as well. Brandon Marshall is playing like an All-Pro at LB. Chris Harris, Aqib Talib, and Bradley Roby have been spectacular in the secondary. Wade Phillips' scheme has really worked well so far.
The Broncos were fortunate to win Week 1 and they should have lost in KC in Week 2, but they were 2-0 at the end of the day. They were the better team in Detroit and deserved the win. At 3-0, they return home this week to take on the Vikings. This should be a week that they use the home crowd to their advantage, swarm the Vikings offense and Teddy Bridgewater, and put enough points on the board to win the game handily.
DENVER (-5) over Minnesota
Final Score: Broncos-23 Vikings-16
Now, here are the rest of the picks for Week 4....
Last Week's Record: 7-9
Overall Record: 20-28
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
MIAMI (+2) over New York Jets (In London): I'm giving the 1-2 Dolphins a chance to redeem themselves this week in London against their division rival the Jets. If they lose this game, then they are done in my eyes.
Jacksonville (+7) over Indy: The Colts clawed their back to 1-2 after wild win in Tennessee last week. Now, they come home and get the 1-2 Jaguars, but they will be without Andrew Luck, who is a last minute scratch. You have to take the Jags at that point.
ATLANTA (-6) over Houston: I like what I have seen out of the Falcons and Dan Quinn so far this year. They are 3-0 and come off a huge comeback win over the Cowboys in Dallas. Now, the Texans come to town, and this could be a close game, and it wouldn't shock me to see the Texans pull off the upset, but I think the Falcons will be a little too much for them this week.
TAMPA BAY (+3) over Carolina: The Panthers come in 3-0, but they are due for a down week. I think this will be one of the upsets of the week with Jameis Winston and the Bucs outdueling Cam Newton and the Panthers.
New York Giants (+5.5) over BUFFALO: This is one of the most interesting 1 o'clock games on Sunday. It is a really tough game for me to figure out, but I like Rex Ryan's defense to take down Eli Manning and the Giants offense, but I see it being closer than the spread indicates.
Oakland (-3) over CHICAGO: How bad has gotten for the Bears? They punted on all 11 possessions last week in Seattle. Jimmy Clausen is still starting for the injured Jay Cutler. They return home to take on the Raiders. The Bears are banged up and in bad shape right now, so I have to take the 2-1 Raiders who have actually looked good the last two weeks.
WASHINGTON (+3) over Philly: Are you buying the Eagles yet? I'm not because the Jets simply screwed that game up last week, and I think Philly has a long way to go before I trust them consistently. The Skins are 1-2, but they had 10 days off after their TNF loss to the Giants to get ready for this one.
CINCY (-3) over Kansas City: Simply put: The Bengals are the second best team in the AFC right now behind only the Patriots. The Chiefs come in at 1-2, and it is starting to look like the combination of Alex Smith and Andy Reid might not be the best 1-2 punch in the NFL at this point.
SAN DIEGO (-7) over Cleveland: The Chargers return home after two losses on the road to Cincy and Minnesota. At 1-2, I can't see them blowing a home game to Cleveland this week. The Browns haven't been awful and are sitting at 1-2, but I don't give them much of a chance this week.
Green Bay (-8) over SAN FRANCISCO: The Packers should get a good look around Levis Stadium in Santa Clara on Sunday because they will probably be back there in February for Super Bowl 50.
St. Louis (+7) over ARIZONA: Every year, I am always dead wrong about a team in the preseason. This year the Cards are making me look really bad. At 3-0, they have looked great and they look like one of the best team in the entire NFL. Now, the Rams come to town at 1-2. How many times have you been really interested in the Cardinals and the Rams? This is a very good game on Sunday late.
Dallas (+4) over New Orleans: Luke McCown vs. Brandon Weeden on NBC Sunday Night Football. It is not exactly Drew Brees going up against Tony Romo, but with both star QBs out with injuries, this is what we have. I might be better off watching the season premiere of "Homeland" on Sunday night.
SEATTLE (-7) over Detroit: Seattle got back on track last week with a dominating shutout of the Bears at home. Now, they get the limping 0-3 Lions coming to Seattle on Monday Night Football. It is safe to say that I feel confident the Seahawks will get to 2-2 after this week.
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