Thursday, December 1, 2016

Broncos-Jags Preview and Week 13 Picks!!!

The Broncos are coming off a brutal 30-27 overtime loss at home to the Chiefs last Sunday night. How much are they going to have in the tank when they head to Jacksonville to take on the 2-9 Jaguars on Sunday. It is a must win game for the 7-4 Broncos who are now on the outside of the AFC playoff picture. To make matters worse for Denver, QB Trevor Siemian, coming off the best game of his career, looks like he won't play with a foot injury. He has been in a boot all week long. If he can't go, then rookie Paxton Lynch will get the start. Lynch struggled in his lone start in Week 5 against the Falcons. This is a tough spot for Lynch, who has to go on the road in a very important game. I know the Jags don't exactly have the greatest homefield advantage, but this will be a challenge for the Broncos young QB. Denver struggles to run the ball, so a lot will come down on Lynch. It just seems like a very difficult situation for him in this spot. I just have a bad feeling about this game. A lot of people are going to pick the Broncos, and I like our defense going up against Blake Bortles, but I just don't have a good feeling. Something tells me that this will be a very frustrating afternoon.

JACKSONVILLE (+3.5) over Denver
Final Score: Jaguars-20 Broncos-16

Last Week's Record: 11-3-2
Overall Record: 96-68-11
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Kansas City (+4.5) over ATLANTA: You have to be impressed with the way the Chiefs went into Denver and won that game last week. Alex Smith going down the field on the Denver defense to tie the game was surprising to say the least. I think the Chiefs have the inside track at winning the AFC West. The Falcons at 7-4 will be a difficult test and this is one of the games of the day, but I like KC to get the win on the road. Their offense will do enough to put points on the board against that Atlanta defense.

GREEN BAY (-6) over Houston: The way the Packers won on Monday night was the way they will have to win the rest of the year in order to have a chance to win their division: Aaron Rodgers has to be lights out. At 5-6, they are not dead yet, and I am nervous about taking them and giving six points, but how can you trust the Texans at this point? Brock Osweiler is struggling, and this game might be a tall order for them. I'll take the Packer at home to get to 6-6.

CINCY (-1) over Philly: At 3-7-1, the Bengals are done this year, but I think they probably have one or two more wins left in them. At 5-6, the Eagles have lost two in a row, and you can see that Carson Wentz is struggling more and more. I think the Bengals are due for a win and this week they put the Eagles playoff hopes on life support.

Detroit (+6) over NEW ORLEANS: At 7-4, the Lions are leading the NFC North and have a very good chance to win the division. Every game they play is close, and I just don't think that the Saints should be six point favorites over the Lions-even at home. The Saints are playing better and at 5-6, they are in the hunt for a surprise wild card berth. Drew Brees is playing lights out, but this one could be trouble for them. I think this game is a toss up.

San Francisco (+1) over CHICAGO: The 1-10 Niners are going up against the 2-9 Bears. This isn't exactly the game of the week in the NFL. I'll take the Niners over the beat up Bears in Chicago. By the way, how is the John Fox era working out in Chicago?

NEW ENGLAND (-12) over Los Angeles: The Pats are 9-2, but they suffered a big loss with Rob Gronkowski going out for at least eight weeks with a back injury. Luckily, they get the pitiful 4-7 Rams coming across the country and into Foxboro for an early start. How about Jeff Fisher talking about how Danny Woodhead is so dangerous for the Pats? Too bad Woodhead is on IR and on the SAN DIEGO CHARGERS!!!! The Pats will roll and get to 10-2.

BALTIMORE (-3) over Miami: This is one of the best games of the day as the 6-5 Ravens are hosting the 7-4 Dolphins. The Fish have won six in a row and are in contention for a wild card spot. The Ravens are currently leading the AFC North. This game has huge ramifications in the AFC. It should be a good one, but I'll side with the Ravens defense to shut down Jay Ajayi and Ryan Tannehill at home.

OAKLAND (-3) over Buffalo: The Raiders are rolling at 9-2 and people are actually talking Super Bowl with them. I'm not sold on them yet, but they are definitely going to make the playoffs. They play host to the 6-5 Bills in the Black Hole on Sunday, and I could see the Bills giving them some trouble with the way the Bills offense can operate. Ultimately, I think the Raiders will do enough to pull this game out to get to 10-2.

SAN DIEGO (-2) over Tampa Bay: Another good late game on Sunday in San Diego. The Chargers are 5-6 and can you imagine if they didn't blow so many games early in the year? The Bucs come in red-hot at 6-5, and they are also thinking about a path to get into the playoffs or even win the NFC South. I think this game could go either way, but I think the Chargers will find a way to get to 6-6 with a big home win.

Washington (+3) over ARIZONA: The Cardinals are pretty much done at 4-6-1, and their season is dangling by a thread. The Redskins are 6-4-1 and coming off a tough loss at Dallas on Thanksgiving. I like how the Skins are playing, and I think they are one of the most complete teams in the NFC. Look for Kirk Cousins to go into Arizona and get the win.

NY GIANTS (+6) over PITTSBURGH: This is a classic matchup featuring the 6-5 Steelers and the 8-3 Giants in Pitt on Sunday in the late afternoon window. I think the Steelers will win this game, but I think it will be close throughout. Look for Big Ben and Antonio Brown to put a drive together late to pull the game out, but this game will be back and forth all day.

SEATTLE (-6) over Carolina: The Panthers lost a heartbreaker last week in Oakland. At 4-7, their season is effectively over, and how much fight do they have left in them? The Seahawks struggled mightily last week in the loss at Tampa Bay, but they are still in line to win the NFC West easily and a first round bye. Look for a bounce back win for the Seahawks at home on SNF.

Indy (-1) over NY JETS: How bad is this game for Monday Night Football? You could see a path that the Colts could potentially win the AFC South, and at 5-6 they are still alive, so this game is very important for the Colts? The question I have for the Jets is how hard are they going to play the rest of the year as they play out the string?

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