Sunday, December 11, 2016

Broncos-Titans Preview and Week 14 Picks!!!!

The Broncos head to Tennessee this weekend to take on the Titans. To understand the importance of this game, analytical websites have tabbed this game as the most important game of the week in the NFL-playoff wise. The Broncos are 8-4 and their last three games feature the Pats at home, at KC, and home against the Raiders. That is about as tough as it gets for the final three games of the year. The Titans are 6-6 and in a three-way tie for the lead in the AFC South. It is pretty safe to say that this is big game. If you have watched the Titans, you have to be impressed by the way they are playing this year. What scares you about this game is the fact that Demarco Murray is having a big season, and the Broncos biggest weakness on defense is the fact that they struggle to stop the run. You could envision Murray going off on this Denver front. Plus, LB Brandon Marshall is out, and that won't help. Marcus Mariota has played very well the last month or so, and his mobility and play-making could give the Broncos fits as well. Denver also is making a second road trip in two weeks and playing in their second straight early game on Sunday. They also played 81 snaps on defense last week at Jacksonville after playing a physical overtime game the week before against the Chiefs. This will be a very difficult game for Denver to win and Trevor Siemian's status is still up in the air. I just think that the Broncos are running into a tough situation, and it will be a gut check for them to pull this one out. I'm struggling to find confidence in this particular spot.

TENNESSEE (-1) over Denver
Final Score: Titans-27 Broncos-17

Now, onto the picks for Week 14..........

Last Week's Record: 10-5
Overall Record: 106-73-11
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

San Diego (+2) over CAROLINA:
The Panthers season is done at 4-8, and the Chargers are on full life support at 5-7. Look for SD to take down the Panthers and continue Carolina's nightmare season.

Houston (+6.5) over INDY:
Both teams are 6-6 and this is a huge game in the AFC South. Everyone is now back on the Colts bandwagon but they buried a Jets team on Monday night that simply quit. Houston has lost three in a row, but I have a hunch they stop the bleeding here and get a huge road win.

CLEVELAND (+6) over Cincy:
This might be the only chance the Browns have to win a game this season. RG III is actually back and starting, which might hurt their chances. I'll go with the Browns to win outright and get their first win of the year.

BUFFALO (+3) over Pittsburgh:
Very interesting game in the AFC. Buffalo is 6-6 after blowing a big lead at Oakland last week. They are still in the hunt in the wildcard race, and their schedule is favorable. The Steelers are 7-5 and have won three in a row. This game could go either way, and I have a feeling the Bills will pull the upset at home.

MIAMI (+2) over Arizona:
I am surprised that the Dolphins are underdogs at home to the Cardinals. Arizona is 5-6-1 and they have struggled all year long. The Dolphins are 7-5 coming off a blowout loss to the Ravens last week. I think this will be a close game, but I see the Fish winning and getting to 8-5.

DETROIT (-7) over Chicago:
I like the Lions chances to win the NFC North. At 8-4, they are two games up on the Packers and Vikings. There is some mojo going with the Lions at this point, and Matt Stafford is a legitimate MVP candidate. I think this is an easy win for the Lions at home over the 3-9 Bears.

Minnesota (-3) over JACKSONVILLE:
The Vikings are 6-6, and it looks like they are going to miss the playoffs after starting 5-0. I would suspect that they will be able to find a way to win in Jacksonville where Gus Bradley is obviously on his way out and the 2-10 Jags are playing out the string.

TAMPA BAY (-2) over New Orleans:
You have to like what you see out of the Bucs lately. At 7-5, they are in the thick of NFC South race and a possible wild card as well. This won't be easy, but I could see Jameis Winston having a big day against the Saints defense, and Tampa Bay pulling it out late at home.

Washington (-1) over PHILLY:
The Redskins have lost two straight and come in at 6-5-1. The Eagles have lost three in a row and are now 5-7. I would expect a back and forth game, but I still think the Redskins have the inside track to grab one of those two wild card spots in the NFC, so I think they will get back on track with a win in Philly.

NY Jets (+2) over SAN FRANCISCO:
The Jets are 3-9 and the 49ers are 1-11. No one cares about this game.

GREEN BAY (+3) over Seattle:
It looks like snow will be a factor in this game at Lambeau on Sunday in the late window. The Packers have won two in a row and now stand at 6-6. They could still get a wild card. Seattle looks like it is destined for the #2 seed. I think Seattle will move the ball effectively on the Packers, but I think Green Bay will win based on the homefield, the snow, and they are more desperate.

Atlanta (-6) over LOS ANGELES:
The Rams are joke and at 4-8 they are headed for a very disappointing season. You can't make up some of the stuff that Jeff Fisher has done lately-including not being able to find his challenge flag last week during the game. This has an Atlanta rout written all over it, and the Falcons have a very favorable schedule down the stretch. Look for Atlanta to get to 8-5.

Dallas (-3) over NY GIANTS:
Huge game on Sunday Night Football from the Meadowlands. The Cowboys are 11-1 and looking to wrap up the NFC East, while the G-Men are 8-4 after a bad loss at Pittsburgh last week. It's a tough one to call because I can see the Giants going all out and beating the Cowboys-especially since they are the only team to beat them this year, but there is something that tells me the Cowboys will play one of their best games of the year and knock off the Giants in Jersey.

Baltimore (+7) over NEW ENGLAND:
Great game on Monday Night Football. The 7-5 Ravens come in off a beatdown of Miami last week, and the Patriots are 10-2 and looking for that 1 seed in the AFC. We all know that Baltimore doesn't fear the Pats, and they have no problem going into New England and getting a win. This will be a close game throughout, and I am not 100% sure that the Ravens are going to win, but it will be a nailbiter that will come down to the last few minutes.


No comments: