Saturday, November 30, 2019

Broncos-Chargers and Week 13 Picks

It looks like the Drew Lock Era may actually be upon us. The Broncos activated Lock for this Sunday's game against the Chargers, and all signs to them starting him. It is about time for Lock. The Broncos need to see him play these next five games, and they need to get an evaluation of him before heading into the draft next year. I'm looking forward to it, and it actually gives me some excitement to watch him play these games. I'll be rooting hard for him, and I want the Broncos to win these last five games and go into next season with a clear answer on Lock and some momentum.

Prediction: DENVER (+3) over LA Chargers
Final Score: Broncos-20 Chargers-19

Now, onto the picks for Week 13.....

Last Week's Record: 6-6-2
Overall Record: 79-88-8
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Green Bay (-6) over NY GIANTS: There is no way the Packers blow this game in the Meadowlands to the Giants. They get back on track after their blowout loss to the Niners last week.

CAROLINA (-9) over Washington: Carolina is 5-6 and falling fast, but this week they get back in the win column. The Panthers get to 6-6 with a convincing win over the hapless Redskins.

San Francisco (+6) over BALTIMORE: One of the top games of the season, and I am glad I have DirecTV so I can watch this game instead of getting stuck with the Giants or Jets in NY. I think the Ravens will win the game, but look for SF to keep it close or get a late score to cover it.

Tennessee (+3) over INDY: I like what I have seen out of Ryan Tannehill and the Titans are 6-5 and right in the thick of the AFC playoff picture. I'll take them here in this spot to upset the Colts.

Philly (-9) over MIAMI: With Dallas losing on Thanksgiving to fall to 6-6, the door is wide open for the Eagles to win the NFC East. They get to 6-6 with a cupcake win over the Dolphins in Miami.

Oakland (+10) over KANSAS CITY: The Chiefs will win to get to 8-4, but I think the Raiders will keep it close. Look for an early onslaught by KC, but the Raiders will rally and fall just short.

JACKSONVILLE (+1) over Tampa Bay: Who the hell knows who will win this game, but I'll take the Jaguars at home.

CINCY (+3) over NY Jets: The Bengals go back to Andy Dalton to get their first win of the season, and I think they get it over the Jets.

LA Rams (-3) over ARIZONA: The Rams got crushed on MNF last week to the Ravens and they are 6-5 and have to win this game to keep any playoff hopes alive. I think they will get it done.

PITTSBURGH (+3) over Cleveland: The rematch from the Thursday Night Football fiasco a few weeks ago. This is a huge game in the AFC playoff race. 6-5 Pittsburgh against 5-6 Cleveland. The Steelers get revenge and take down the Browns.

New England (-3) over HOUSTON: The Pats defense will frustrate Deshaun Watson all night long and NE will win convincingly in Houston on SNF.
  SEATTLE (-3) over Minnesota: The Seahawks will keep their NFC West title hopes alive by knocking off the Vikings on Monday Night Football

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Broncos Get Buried in Buffalo, Fall to 3-8

There's not much to say about Denver's woeful performance in Buffalo on Sunday. The 20-3 loss puts the Broncos at 3-8 this season, and they are certainly playing for pride and next season the rest of the way. Here are my quick thoughts and observations on the game...

1) The Broncos offense turned in its' worst statistical output since 1992. They only scored 3 points and it was truly hard to watch.

2) We know what Brandon Allen is. He is a capable backup, who can come in and win a game in a spot start. That's about it for him. He had a rough day in windy Buffalo on Sunday.

3) The Broncos were down 6-0 when they gave up a third quarter TD pass from Josh Allen to Cole Beasley to make it 13-0. Their offense was awful all day long, so you knew they weren't coming back from that.

4) All that is left for this season to see Drew Lock play. The Broncos have to see what their second round QB can do before they head into the offseason. There is a chance that Lock starts this Sunday at home against the Chargers, and if he does, then it is worth watching for the rest of the season. At this point, that is all that matters. It is time for Lock.

Thanksgiving Picks 2019

Chicago (-4) over DETROIT

Buffalo (+6) over DALLAS

New Orleans (-7) over ATLANTA

Sunday, November 24, 2019

Broncos-Bills and Week 12 Picks

The Broncos come into Buffalo a wounded team both physically and mentally. After blowing a 20-0 lead last week in Minnesota and losing, Denver is now 3-7. They have to head all the way back east to take on the Bills in the early window on Sunday. Plus, they are banged up in a lot of areas. I think they will play hard for awhile, but ultimately it will not be enough.

Prediction: BUFFALO (-4) over Denver
Final Score: Bills-23 Broncos-14

Here's some quick picks for Week 12....

Last Week's Record: 8-6-0
Overall Record: 73-82-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Miami (+11) over CLEVELAND:

CINCY (+7) over Pittsburgh:

CHICAGO (-5) over NY Giants:

Oakland (-3) over NY Jets:

Carolina (+9) over NEW ORLEANS:

Tampa Bay (+5) over ATLANTA:

WASHINGTON (+4) over Detroit:

TENNESSEE (-3) over Jacksonville:

NEW ENGLAND (-6) over Dallas:

Green Bay (+3) over SAN FRANCISCO:

PHILLY (-1) over Seattle:

LA RAMS (+3) over Baltimore:


Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Texans-Colts Week 12 TNF Pick

HOUSTON (-3) over Indy

Broncos Blow Huge Lead and Lose to Vikings 27-23

The Broncos raced out to a 20-0 lead in Minnesota over the heavily favored Vikings and it looked like Denver was going to pull off the upset of the week in the NFL. Unfortunately, the Vikings rallied in the second half and came all the way the back and won 27-23 and handed the Broncos their seventh loss of the season in devastating fashion. The Broncos are now 3-7 and officially playing out the string the rest of the season. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game....

1) Everything the Broncos did in the first half was perfect. They played some of their best football all season long. Everything was going their way in this game. Brandon Allen was throwing bombs to Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant, their defense was getting stops, sacks and takeaways, and the Vikings were falling apart.

2) The key play of the first half and the turning point was when they took a 20-0 lead on Brandon McManus field goal and the Vikings fumbled the ensuing kickoff. Denver recovered deep in Minnesota territory. The very next play resulted in a Brandon Allen interception at the Minnesota goal line and the Broncos went into the half with a 20-0 lead instead of a 23-0 lead or a 27-0 lead.

3) The Vikings turned it on in the second half and the Broncos defense had no answer. Kirk Cousins led four straight touchdown drives and the next thing you know, they are down 27-23. You could almost see it coming after the Vikings scored on their first drive of the third quarter.

4) The huge play that probably decided the game was when Brandon McManus missed a 43 yard field goal with 8:19 left up 23-20. If he makes that kick, then the Broncos are up 26-20, and it changes everything if the Vikings score a TD, which they eventually did.

5) The Broncos put together a 19 play drive and converted three fourth downs to keep the drive alive, but Vic Fangio made the mistake of challenging a pass interference call with just over 2 minutes to go and burned a timeout when the challenge failed. They also mismanaged the clock when Allen scrambled for a first down and didn't get out of bounds with 33 seconds left. They took too long and didn't run another play until there were 10 seconds left on the clock. Three straight throws in the end zone were incomplete and the Broncos choke job was complete.

6) This is as bad of a loss as you can get, but with the way the season went this year in Denver, I'm not surprised at all. The losses to the Bears, Jags, and Colts were bad, but this takes the cake. As frustrating as it was, the truth is that this Broncos team is going nowhere anyway. Even if they won and were 4-6, they weren't going to make a miraculous run down the stretch. At 3-7, they are basically done and now it is all about 2019.

7) Denver heads to Buffalo to take on the 7-3 Bills this Sunday, and this looks like another game on paper that the Broncos will lose. It looks like Drew Lock won't be active again, but I hope that he is ready to go and start the game at home on December 1st against the Chargers. He better be because Lock is the only reason left for any Broncos fan to watch for the remainder of the 2019 season.

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Broncos-Vikings and Week 11 Picks

Denver travels to Minnesota to take on the 7-3 Vikings, who are coming off a big win on SNF over the Cowboys. The Broncos are 3-6 and coming off a bye week. Can Denver go into Minnesota and knock off the Vikes and pull the upset? This seems like a really tall order. Minnesota is good at home in these early 1:00pm EST starts. I can't see them losing focus here and letting Brandon Allen come in and beat them at home. The Vikings are just too good for the Broncos in this spot.

MINNESOTA (-10) over Denver
Final Score: Vikings-29 Broncos-6

Now, onto the picks for Week 11 in the National Football League...

Last Week's Record: 5-8-0
Overall Record: 65-76-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

DALLAS (-4) over Detroit: The Cowboys will right the ship after their home loss to the Vikings to get to 6-4.

New Orleans (-5) over TAMPA BAY: The Saints will right the ship after their home loss to the Falcons to get to 8-2.

CAROLINA (-3) over Atlanta: This spread is too low. Take the Panthers at home giving the points to get to 6-4.

Jacksonville (+3) over INDY: Nick Foles returns from injury for the Jags and they go into Indy and knock off the Colts.

NY Jets (+2) over WASHINGTON: The Jets win their second in a row over the hapless Redskins.

Buffalo (-5) over MIAMI: The Bills right the ship after their road loss to the Browns last week and get to 7-3 with a win over the Fish.

Houston (+4) over BALTIMORE: This is the game of the day in the AFC. Deshaun Watson against Lamar Jackson. I'll take the Texans on the road.

SAN FRANCISCO (-9) over Arizona: Look for the Niners to bounce back after that tough loss at home to the Seahawks on MNF.

PHILLY (+4) over New England: I know the Pats are coming off a bye and a loss but I have a feeling the Eagles will pull off the upset here.

OAKLAND (-9) over Cincy: The Bengals are still winless at 0-9, and they don't stand a chance in the Black Hole. Raiders will roll.

LA RAMS (-6) over Chicago: The Rams have to get their offense going. At 5-4, they need a win here to keep pace with all the other playoff contenders in the NFC. Mitch Trubisky serves it up for them on SNF.

Kansas City (-3) over LA Chargers (Mexico City): Look for the Chiefs to get back on track after that awful loss to the Titans last week. They take care of business and get to 7-4 with a win over the Chargers in Mexico.

Browns-Steelers TNF Pick

CLEVELAND(-2) over Pitt

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Week 10 Picks!

With the Broncos on their bye week, I turn my attention to Week 10 and the picks in the......National......Football........League


Last Week's Record: 7-7-0
Overall Record: 60-68-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Kansas City (-5) over TENNESSEE:  I can't see the Chiefs losing to the 4-5 Titans in Nashville. It looks like Pat Mahomes will be back in the lineup, so look for him to pick up right where he left off when he got injured. The Chiefs get to 7-3

CLEVELAND (-3) over Buffalo: The 6-2 Bills are riding high, but they haven't played a very tough schedule. They head to Cleveland to take on the 2-6 Browns. The Browns have been a disappointment this year, but I think they will get the win at home over the Bills here.

TAMPA BAY (-4) over Arizona: Tampa Bay is a tough team to predict each week. At 2-6, they are playing for next year, but Bruce Arians won't let them quit. They will play hard for him. This week, he goes up against his old team, the Cardinals. I think Arians gets the better of his old team.

NY JETS (+3) over NY Giants: The Giants and Jets are just atrocious right now. The Jets are 1-7, coming off a loss to Miami, and the Giants are 2-7, losers of five straight games. I'll take the Jets to win it.

NEW ORLEANS (-12) over Atlanta: The 7-1 Saints are not losing at home to the 1-7 Falcons. No way in hell. The Saints roll and get to 8-1.

CINCY (+11) over Baltimore: The Bengals are the last winless team in the NFL, and I'm not saying they are going to win, but everybody in the NFL wins at some point. I think they will keep it closer than people expect over the 6-2 Ravens, who are coming off a huge SNF win over the Pats.

GREEN BAY (-5) over Carolina: Good game in Lambeau on Sunday. The 5-3 Panthers come into Titletown with the news that they are shutting down Cam Newton for the rest of the season with a foot injury. The good news is that Kyle Allen is playing well, and Christian McCaffrey is a legit MVP candidate. The bad news is the Packers are 7-2 and coming off a humiliating performance to the Chargers in LA last week. They will win the game by a touchdown.

Detroit (+3) over CHICAGO: The Bears are in a must-win at 3-5, but their offense is struggling and Mitch Trubisky is taking a lot of the blame. I think Detroit will find a way to get the win in Soldier Field on Sunday.

INDY (-10) over Miami: I don't plan on watching one second of this game. The Colts have been in close games the entire season and are fortunate to be 5-3, but they will take care of business over the Dolphins.

LA Rams (-3) over PITTSBURGH: Sneaky good game on Sunday afternoon as the Rams travel to Pitt to take on the 4-4 Steelers. Somehow, the Steelers are still alive in the AFC playoff picture. The weather could be a factor because it will be cold in the northeast on Sunday.

DALLAS (-3) over Minnesota: I have a hard time deciding on who will win this game. The Vikings never win a big game on the road, and I worry that Dallas could be complacent in this one. Good game and pivotal game in the NFC, but I'll go with the Cowboys.

Seattle (+7) over SAN FRANCISCO: San Francisco is 8-0, but they are due for a loss, and I think it happens this week at the hands of the Seahawks. Look for Russell Wilson to do his thing in this game and pull out the win for Seattle. Good game for MNF though.

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Broncos Improve to 3-6 with Win over Browns

The Broncos got to 3-6 with a 24-19 win over the Browns in Denver on Sunday. It was the first career start for Brandon Allen, who was subbing for the injured Joe Flacco. Allen played well and gave the Broncos a chance to win the game. A late 4th down stop and a first down sealed the victory for the Broncos. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game....

1) Denver looked good early with Allen hitting Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant on two touchdown passes. Fant's TD was really impressive because it was a 75 yard catch and run in which he broke three tackles along the way. It was only one game but it is amazing what a different QB can do for your team. Allen is mobile enough to avoid pressure and he can run the bootlegs that are a staple of this system. It was refreshing to watch a QB other than Flacco run this offense.

2) The defense played great in the redzone. They limited the Browns to only 1 TD in five appearances. They were able to make the key stops when they had to and frustrated Baker Mayfield all day long.

3) The key drive of the game was when the Broncos were backed up inside their own 10 in the third quarter and drove down for a touchdown to extend the lead to 24-12. That was a huge sequence in the game. Allen made some big throws and Philip Lindsay scored the touchdown to finish off the drive.

4) This game was more of a reflection of the Browns and their shitshow of a team and season. At 2-6, they face long odds to make a run for the playoffs. Their head coach, Freddie Kitchens, is lost and in over his head. Baker Mayfield has regressed from last season, and Odell Beckham doesn't really do much. They are about as overrated as a team that I have seen in a long time. Their whole program is a disaster.

5) The Broncos are now 3-6 and headed into their bye week. It is nice to win and head into the bye, and it will be interesting to see how their QB situation plays out after the bye when they return to action in Minnesota. I still think we need to see Drew Lock sooner rather than later, but I don't think it will be until after the Bills game on November 24th.

Friday, November 1, 2019

Broncos-Browns and Week 9 Picks

No Broncos fan really cares what happens on Sunday in Denver against the Browns. The Broncos are 2-6, headed for another losing season, playing out the string, and now they are starting backup QB Brandon Allen in the place of Joe Flacco, who is on IR for the rest of the season due to a neck injury. All that matters at this point is when Drew Lock can get on the field for the Broncos. After this week, they have a bye then back-to-back road games against the Vikings and Bills. I suspect they don't want to throw him out there to start on the road, and they would probably like to get him starting at home against the Chargers the following game, but I have a feeling that Allen will be so bad that they might be tempted to get him in there against the Vikings and start him against the Bills. That's my prediction on that one. Until Lock plays, no one cares how the Broncos will fare. I would expect the Browns to take them to the woodshed on Sunday in Mile High.

Prediction: Cleveland (-3) over DENVER
Final Score: Browns-27 Broncos-6

Now, onto the picks for Week 9......

Last Week's Record: 8-6-1
Overall Record: 53-61-6
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Jacksonville (+2) over Houston (London): I think the Jags will play well and get to (Gulp) 5-4 with a win over the 5-3 Texans over in London.

BUFFALO (-8) over Washington: Dwayne Haskins gets the start for the 1-7 Redskins in Buffalo. Maybe the Skins can take some positive karma from the Nationals World Series win and use it in this game on Sunday. Most likely that won't happen, and the Bills will get to 6-2 on the heels of another weak victory over a weak team.

CAROLINA (-3) over Tennessee: The Panthers got throttled last week in SF, but they are still 4-3 and in playoff contention. The Titans are 4-4 and look better on offense with Ryan Tannehill at QB. Look for a close game, but the Panthers will win and get to 5-3.

Chicago (+5) over PHILLY: This looks like an obvious win for the Eagles, but I would call this my hunch of the week. The Bears are desperate at 3-4 and need a win badly. They go on the road to take on a Philly team that is 4-4 after a huge win in Buffalo. It looks like a Philly lock on paper, and I think they will win, but I see this game being close to the end.

Minnesota (+2) over KANSAS CITY: It is hard to pick the Chiefs when it looks like Pat Mahomes will be out again this week. I know it is unlikely for them to lose four in a row at home, but without Mahomes, I could see them struggling with the Vikings defense.

NY Jets (-3) over MIAMI: Awful game in the AFC East. I'll take the Jets to get their second win.

PITTSBURGH (+2) over Indy: Indy has been in close games all season long, but they are 5-2 and they look like they are a playoff caliber team. The Steelers are 3-4 and not dead yet. A win here would get them to .500 and a chance to do something with their season. I think the Colts are due for a loss and this might be the spot.

OAKLAND (-2) over Detroit: This is an easy game to pick. The Raiders are 3-4 but they will get to 4-4 with a smooth, effortless win over the visiting Lions.

SEATTLE (-5) over Tampa Bay: The Seahawks are not losing to this Bucs team at home. Look for them to get to 7-2 with a win over the 2-5 Buccaneers. I've seen enough of Jameis Winston to realize he is not the guy in Tampa.

Green Bay (-3) over LA CHARGERS: The Packers will feel like it is a home game when to head to LA to take on the Chargers. It will look like Lambeau West in this game. Look for the Packers to get to 8-1 with a win over the 3-5 Chargers.

NEW ENGLAND (-3) over Baltimore: This is a really good Sunday Night Football game to end the day of football. I'm looking forward to it. I have to think that the Pats and Bill Belichick will have something up his sleeve for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. Should be fun regardless.

Dallas (-6) over NY GIANTS: The Giants are headed to another shitty season and at 2-6, it is all about the development of Daniel Jones now. The Cowboys are 4-3, and they can sit alone atop the NFC East with a win at the halfway point of the season. I think they roll on Monday Night Football.