Thursday, October 31, 2019

Cardinals-Niners TNF Pick

ARIZONA (+10) over San Francisco

Broncos Lose To Colts on Last Second Field Goal, Fall to 2-6

The Broncos are now 2-6 with a last second loss to the Indianapolis Colts 15-13 on a 51 yard field goal with only a few seconds left. The Broncos led the entire game but lost on a last second kick for the third time this season. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game....

1) The Broncos defense played really well throughout the game and it is a shame that they gave up a 51 yard field goal at the end of the game to lose it. A missed sack by Von Miller led to Jacoby Brissett scrambling and finding T.Y. Hilton for a huge first down and a penalty for a horse collar on Al Johnson gave the Colts the field position they needed to win the game late.

2) The Broncos offense continued to struggle. They had 6-3 lead at halftime and only managed one touchdown in the second half on Royce Freeman run. Other than that, they did nothing. They had the ball near midfield three times in the 4th quarter and couldn't get any yards or any points to put the game away.

3) The key play that everyone is talking about is the 3rd and 5 with just under two minutes to go in the game. Denver elected to run it up the middle and play it safe, and Indy called their final timeout. A first down there by the Broncos ends the game. They played it too conservative and they got beat for it.

4) Joe Flacco criticized the coaching staff for that play call, and he was right. It was too conservative. But, Flacco is part of the problem on offense. He just isn't good anymore. He also airmailed three straight passes out of the endzone in the first half, so he needs to pipe down a little.

5) At 2-6, the Broncos are playing for next year. Flacco had a sore neck and it looks like he will be out awhile. Brandon Allen with start in his place this week at home against Cleveland. The Broncos have a bye, and then it will be a matter of getting Drew Lock ready to go and start at QB. The only thing worth watching at this point is when Lock will play and how he will do once he gets in.

Friday, October 25, 2019

Broncos-Colts and Week 8 Picks

It's hard to find a way to be confident that the Broncos will go into Indy and beat the Colts this week. Indy is coming off back to back wins over KC and Houston. They look like one of the better teams in the AFC. Denver comes in after trading Emmanuel Sanders to SF, and getting waxed by KC last Thursday night at home. At 2-5, the Broncos are looking at another dismal season, and I just can't see them turning this around this week in Indy. It is too tall of an order for this group.

Prediction: INDY (-6) over Denver
Final Score: Colts-33 Broncos-14

Now, onto the picks for Week 8....

Last Week's Record: 8-5-1
Overall Record: 45-55-5
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

DETROIT (-6) over NY Giants: The Lions are 3-3-1 but could easily have five wins. The Giants are 2-5 and falling fast. I think the Lions will roll at home.

Tampa Bay (+3) over TENNESSEE: I have a gut that Tampa Bay goes into Nashville and knocks off the Titans. The Bucs are always good for one or two upsets a year when no one expects it.

LA Chargers (+4) over CHICAGO: The Chargers are 2-5 and the Bears are 3-3. This is a big game for both teams. I have a feeling that the Chargers will somehow find a way to knock off the Bears in Chicago.

Seattle (-6) over ATLANTA: The Falcons are 1-6 and falling apart. They are headed for another disaster of a season. In comes Seattle this week, and the Seahawks are 5-2 coming off a loss at home to the Ravens. Look for a bounce back game by Seattle this week.

NY Jets (+7) over JACKSONVILLE: I think the Jags win this game, but I think the Jets keep it close and it comes down to the end.

Philly (+2) over BUFFALO: The Bills are 5-1 and I think they might be one of the worst 5-1 teams in history. Look for the Eagles to get to 4-4 with a convincing win in Buffalo.

LA Rams (-12) over Cincy (London): The Rams are 4-3 after a blowout win last week over the Falcons. The Bengals are 0-7 and looking at a lost year. Look for the Rams to take care of business in London.

NEW ORLEANS (-10) over Arizona: Drew Brees might be back this week and the Saints were rolling without him at 6-1. Arizona is surprisingly 3-3-1 but they will struggle to keep this close.

Oakland (+7) over HOUSTON: I think the Raiders will keep this game close after getting blown out by the Packers last week. The Texans are 4-3, and I look for them to win the game, but this one will come down to the end.

Carolina (+6) over SAN FRANCISCO: The Niners are 6-0 and atop the NFC West, but they are due for a bad game. I could see the Panthers giving them a really close game and maybe even pulling off the upset.

Cleveland (+14) over NEW ENGLAND: The Pats will win, but look for the Browns to keep it close or get the backdoor cover.

Green Bay (-3) over KANSAS CITY: This game changed with the injury to Pat Mahomes. I think the Packers will be able to do just enough against the KC defense to get the win in Arrowhead.

Miami (+14) over PITTSBURGH: The Steelers will win this dud of a Monday night game, but I can see the Fish keeping it closer than people expect.

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Vikings-Redskins TNF Pick

MINNESOTA(-13) over Washington

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Broncos-Chiefs Review and Week 7 Picks

The Chiefs came into Denver on Thursday night on short rest, with a bunch of starters out, a defense that had been shredded the last month, and a gimpy Pat Mahomes, and still buried the Broncos by 23 points. The 30-6 KC win in Denver was so symbolic of everything that is wrong with the Broncos and their organization. Eventhough Mahomes left the game early in the second quarter with a dislocated kneecap, the Chiefs still rolled and their defense completely suffocated the Broncos offense. It was about as bad of a performance as you would expect. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game....

1) After the Broncos drove down the field for an opening drive touchdown by Royce Freeman, nothing went right for them. After KC went offside on the extra point, the Broncos took the penalty and elected to go for the two-point conversion. Philip Lindsay got stuffed from the 1 yard line and that was it. 6-0 Denver and then it was a shitshow.

2) KC answered with a Mahomes TD pass to make it 7-6, and then the Broncos preceded to try a fake punt down 10-6 in their own end. I don't like fake punts when punters are trying to throw a pass and that is what the Broncos tried with Colby Wadman. It didn't work out and failed miserably and the Broncos gave KC the ball back in their own end which led to another field goal.

3) A strip sack of Joe Flacco and a fumble return TD for the Chiefs made it 20-6 and you could feel the air just come out of the stadium for the Broncos.

4) A missed field goal by Brandon McManus just added to the list of mistakes. Garret Bolles got called for another few holding calls and it was just an embarrassing at that point. The Broncos offense converted one third down conversion and Flacco got sacked nine times. Noah Fant dropped numerous passes that drew a lot of boos from the crowd. It was ugly.

5) The final nail in the coffin was when backup Matt Moore hit Tyreek Hill on a wheel route for a 57 yard TD to make it 27-6 Chiefs in the third quarter. That put the game away for good and it probably put the Broncos season away for good too.

6) This was one of the most embarrassing home losses I have seen in my lifetime as a Broncos fan. I thought of the blowout loss to the Raiders at home in 1994, the blowout losses to the Chargers in 2007 and 2009, and the loss to the Giants in 2017 as similar games. It was terrible. The Chiefs have now won 5 straight game in Denver! That's ridiculous.

7) This game magnified the issues with the Broncos. Joe Flacco is the guy who we all thought he was, and he showed no fight or spirit in this game at all. Garret Bolles is a bust at LT and he has to be benched when Juwan James comes back from injury. Our offense is terrible overall and we just can't score points. We have no depth on defense as well. It's just a really bad team. They are 2-5 and going nowhere, and for the third straight year the Broncos are looking at a really bad season, and that is unheard of for a Broncos fan my age or my generation.

8) I know he might get killed out there and it might not be pretty, but we have to play Drew Lock when he comes off IR. We have to at least find out what we have in this young kid as a QB of the future. Play him. Let him learn and see what you got with him. That is only thing left to possibly look forward to as a Broncos fan.

Now, onto the picks for Week 7...


Last Week's Record: 6-8
Overall Record: 37-50-4
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

NY GIANTS (-3) over Arizona

INDY (-1) over Houston

Miami (+17) over BUFFALO

DETROIT (+2) over Minnesota

Oakland (+5) over GREEN BAY

Jacksonville (-3) over CINCY

LA Rams (-3) over ATLANTA

San Francisco (-7) over WASHINGTON

LA Chargers (+3) over TENNESSEE

SEATTLE (-3) over Baltimore

New Orleans (+3) over CHICAGO

Philly (+3) over DALLAS

New England (-11) over NY Jets

Thursday, October 17, 2019

Chiefs-Broncos TNF Pick

The Chiefs come to Denver for Thursday Night Football with a two game losing streak and a 4-2 record. The Broncos are 2-4 after a two game winning streak. Can the Broncos slow down the Chiefs offense and pull the upset? I think the Broncos can definitely win this game and the Chiefs are coming in beat up on a short week, but ultimately I think Pat Mahomes will be just too much for the Denver defense, and I see KC winning in Denver for the fourth straight season.

Prediction: Kansas City (-3) over DENVER
Final Score: Chiefs-30 Broncos-16

Monday, October 14, 2019

Broncos Shutout Titans, Win Second in a Row!

The Broncos posted a shutout on Sunday as they blanked the Tennessee Titans 16-0 at home in Denver to improve their record to 2-4. It was a dominating performance on defense that saw them register 7 sacks and 3 interceptions. The Broncos defense posted the shutout and now have a two-game winning streak as they get ready for the Chiefs to come to Denver on Thursday night. Here are my thoughts and observations on the game...

1) Denver's defense was dominant. They completely shut down the run game for the Titans and Derrick Henry did nothing all day. Also, they got to Marcus Mariota all game, and he actually got benched for Ryan Tannehill in the fourth quarter. It was the type of performance we have been waiting for from Vic Fangio's defense all year long. They held the Titans to 2-14 on 3rd down conversions, 204 total yards, and forced 3 turnovers. That's about as good as it gets for a defense.

2) Alexander Johnson continues to make plays and impress at ILB. He had 1.5 sacks and led the team with 9 total tackles. He continues to stand out on the field.

3) Kareem Jackson really looks like a difference maker as well. He is all over the field and makes play after play. I was happy to see him get an interception at the end of the game to seal the win. Chris Harris Jr. was also his stellar self. He had an interception and was just a force all game long. Derek Wolfe had two sacks and played his best game of the year as well.

4) The Broncos offense wasn't good but it did enough to put up 16 points and win the game. They got a field goal on their first possession, a field goal late in the first half, and a TD late in the third quarter to basically seal the win. I think they did play it a little too safe at times, but the way the game was playing out, they needed to do that with the way their defense was playing. Philip Lindsay had over 70 yards rushing and punched in the TD to make it 13-0.

5) It was nice to see the Broncos go with the blue jersey and white pants combination for this home game. They were also honoring Champ Bailey at halftime and putting him in the Ring of Fame. Champ is one of my all-time favorite Broncos and I even got my son his first Broncos jersey when he was born with #24 Bailey.

6) Two wins in a row is nice but the Broncos still have a hole to get out of before they can start to make something out of this season. They are 2-4 and host the 4-2 Chiefs on Thursday Night Football in Denver. The Chiefs come in losing two in a row at home, but it will be very tough to try to slow down that KC offense-even at home. Win this game on Thursday night and we might have something brewing.

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Broncos-Titans and Week 6 Picks

The Broncos return home to Denver to host the 2-3 Titans. Tennessee is a hard team to judge week-to-week, but the Broncos really can't be favored to win any game at this point in the year. Even after getting their first win on the road against the Chargers, they could still get buried at home by the Titans. I do think that they are due for a home win. They have lost four straight home games dating back to 2018. That could play into their favor. When was the last time the Broncos lost their first three home games to start a season? It's going to be tough and I think Denver will have trouble moving the ball on this Tennessee defense. Also, the Broncos are dealing with so many injuries-especially in their secondary. Add it all up, and I think the Titans go into Denver and beat up the Broncos.

Prediction: Tennessee (+3) over DENVER
Final Score: Titans-26 Broncos-13

Now, onto the picks for Week 6....

Last Week's Record: 5-9-1
Overall Record: 31-42-4
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay (In London): Back in London for the second straight week, and now we get the 9:30 am start time on the East Coast. Ugh, I hate this early morning window for a game. At least it is the Bucs and the Panthers, so it isn't much of a marquee game.

Cincy (+11) over BALTIMORE: At 3-2, I'm still not totally sold on the Ravens, and I think they are giving way too many points here-even at home. I know the Bengals are 0-5 and terrible, but I could see them keeping this game somewhat close.

CLEVELAND (+2) over Seattle: This is the classic "Bounce Back Game When Everybody Thinks We Suck" game for the Browns.

KANSAS CITY (-4) over Houston: This is another bounce back game and it involves the Chiefs getting back on track at home. I am excited for Pat Mahomes and DeShaun Watson though.

JACKSONVILLE (-1) over New Orleans: This is the hunch of the week. I'm going to ride Gardner Minshew till the very end-whenever that comes.

MINNESOTA (-3) over Philly: Two 3-2 teams in a very important game in the NFC. I like Minnesota because they are at home and I think the Eagles are just too banged up. It is a fun game though and I wouldn't be shocked if Philly won. This one is hard to figure out.

Washington (-3) over MIAMI: Remember when these two franchises met in Super Bowl XVII? The Skins won 27-17 on the famous 4th and 1 call with John Riggins scoring the game-winning TD in the Rose Bowl. Times have certainly changed and both of these teams are winless and looking towards the 2020 Draft.

LA RAMS (-2) over San Francisco: Great game in the late window on Sunday afternoon. The 4-0 Niners take on the 3-2 Rams. I'm not totally buying the Rams as a team that is going to have a disappointing season. They lost by a point at Seattle on a short week last Thursday night. I think they right the ship and give SF their first loss of the season.

ARIZONA (+2) over Atlanta: The 1-3-1 Cardinals host the 1-4 Falcons. I have to think Atlanta gets the win this week......right? I'm not so sure.

Dallas (-7) over NY JETS: Sam Darnold returns from mono for the first time since Week 1. I think he gives the Jets a boost, but look for the Cowboys to get to 4-2 after losing two straight.

Pittsburgh (+5) over LA CHARGERS: This is a dog of a Sunday night game. The Chargers are favored to take down the Steelers, who are down to third-string QB Dalvin Hodges, but you never know what you will get with this Chargers team. Plus, the Steelers fans will invade LA and make it a home game for Pittsburgh.

GREEN BAY (-4) over Detroit: Fun Monday Night Football matchup between two longtime rivals. I give the slight edge to the Packers because they are at home, and I think it will be close throughout. I could see the Lions pulling off the upset, but I don't know if I have the guts to pick them here.

Wednesday, October 9, 2019

Giants-Patriots TNF Pick

NEW ENGLAND (-14) over NY Giants

Monday, October 7, 2019

Broncos Upset Chargers in LA, Get First Win of 2019

Finally, the Broncos won a football game. Going back to last season, the Broncos had lost eight games in a row, which was the longest streak in the NFL. Sunday they went into LA and defeated the Chargers 20-13 to notch their first win of the year and improve their record to 1-4. Denver jumped out to a 14-0 lead in the first quarter, and they held on to get the win. Here are my thoughts and observations about the game....

1) The Broncos scored the first two drives of the game and it was like "Where was this offense all year?" Philip Lindsay capped the opening drive with a TD run and Courtland Sutton hauled in a Joe Flacco pass for a 70 yard TD to make it 14-0 early for the Broncos. What a start for this offense.

2) The Broncos got their first turnover of the year when Justin Simmons picked off Philip Rivers in the first quarter. I didn't expect it would get to Week 5 before Denver got its' first takeaway of the year.

3) Kareem Jackson made the defensive play of the first half when he dove and stopped Austin Ekeler at the goaline on 4th and Goal with no time left in the half to preserve the 17-0 halftime lead.

4) The Broncos got sloppy in the second half. A Joe Flacco interception was bailed out by an Al Johnson interception of Rivers in the endzone. The Broncos gave up a punt return for a TD in the 3rd quarter to cut the lead to 17-7. To be honest, there were at least two blocks in the back that were not called. The Chargers kept cutting into the lead and cut the score to 17-10 in the 4th quarter.

5) When the score was 17-10, Brandon McManus missed a 52 yarder to make it 20-10, and I thought to myself that the Broncos are going to blow another game late. But, give their defense credit because they forced a punt and got the ball back. The Broncos, behind Philip Lindsay, got some big first downs and iced the game on a field goal to make it 20-10.

6) Philip Lindsay was great on offense all game long, and the Broncos defense did a great job on Rivers and that LA offense. Kareem Jackson was all over the field, Chris Harris shut down Keenan Allen, and Al Johnson filled in for the injured Josey Jewell and was all over the field. He was the best player on the Broncos defense.

7) Congrats to Vic Fangio on getting his first win as a head coach. It should have happened earlier this year, but they got the win and now hopefully they can string some wins together. They host Tennessee next week in Denver with the hopes of getting to 2-4.

Friday, October 4, 2019

Broncos-Chargers and Week 5 Picks

The Broncos head to LA to take on the Chargers this Sunday and they are facing the possibility of starting a season 0-5 for the first time in franchise history. To make matters worse, Bradley Chubb is out for the season with a partially torn ACL. The Broncos season is basically over, and I am waiting for the inevitable blowout loss in which the team quits in the second half. I think this could be that week. Look for the Chargers to be in command throughout and look for Denver to head to an 0-5 record with a beatdown in LA.

Prediction: LA CHARGERS (-6) over Denver
Final Score: Chargers-33 Broncos-10

Now onto the picks for Week 5....

Last Week's Record: 6-8
Overall Record: 26-33-3
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

PITTSBURGH (+3) over Baltimore:  I don't believe in Lamar Jackson yet, and I don't believe in the Ravens defense. I don't believe in Mason Rudolph either, but I'll take the Steelers as a home dog.

Oakland (+5) over Chicago (In London): I wonder if the Bears will be better with Chase Daniel running the offense with Mitch Trubisky out with a shoulder injury. This game is weird to me because of the London factor. The Raiders are 2-2, and I'll take them getting the five points.

CINCY (-2) over Arizona: 0-4 Cincy takes on 0-3-1 Arizona. I would assume that the Bengals will get their first win of the year this week at home against the Cardinals. Both teams are headed for Top 5 picks next spring as well.

Jacksonville (+3) over CAROLINA: Gardner Minshew has the Jags at 2-2 and they head to Carolina to take on the 2-2 Panthers. Carolina has won two in a row without Cam Newton and I also wonder if they are better off with Kyle Allen at QB at this point. This is a tricky game, and I have no idea what will happen, but look for Minshew Mania to continue.

Minnesota (-4) over NY GIANTS: The Giants have righted their ship a little as they are now 2-2 after an 0-2 start and Daniel Jones has breathed some life into this franchise. The Vikings come in at 2-2, but their passing game is really sputtering. Kirk Cousins could get it going this week against that weak Giants defense.

New England (-14) over WASHINGTON: The Redskins are 0-4 and in disarray, and now the Pats come to DC. I can't see this game being remotely close as the Pats move to 5-0.

NY Jets (+14) over PHILLY: I think that Philly wins but I can see the Jets covering the number. The Eagles will get to 3-2 while the Jets will fall to 0-4 while they wait for Sam Darnold to come back from Mono.

Tampa Bay (+4) over NEW ORLEANS: I'll take the Bucs in a game that I think will come down to the wire. TB is at 2-2 after a wild, road win over the Rams last week, and the Saints outlasted the Cowboys to get to 3-1. Look for a back and forth game and this will come down to field goal at the end.

HOUSTON (-4) over Atlanta: I have no faith in the 1-3 Falcons. I think they are in for a dreadful season. The Texans are 2-2 after a bad home loss to the Panthers last week. I think Houston gets it going this week at home and gets to 3-2.

TENNESSEE (-3) over Buffalo: The Bills are 3-1 and coming off a home loss to the Pats last week. The Titans are 2-2 after a win in Atlanta. I like the Titans at home this week to get after Josh Allen, and look for them to get to 3-2.

DALLAS (-3) over Green Bay: Huge game in the late window on Sunday afternoon. 3-1 Cowboys take on the 3-1 Packers in a game that is very big for the NFC. I think the Cowboys will find a way and knock off the Packers and get to 4-1.

KANSAS CITY (-10) over Indy: This game will be a blowout win for the Chiefs in Arrowhead on SNF. I don't think Indy has enough to keep up with the Chiefs, who will get to 5-0 in convincing fashion.

Cleveland (+4) over SAN FRANCISCO: The 3-0 Niners host the Browns on Monday Night Football. This game will be a pretty good game to watch, and I think the Browns will pull the mini-upset and knock off the 49ers to get to 3-2.


Thursday, October 3, 2019

Broncos Blow Lead and Fall to Jaguars, Drop To 0-4

Any Sunday and another loss for the Broncos. This time it was at the hands of the Jaguars and Gardner Minshew in Denver. The Broncos had a 17-3 lead late in the second quarter, but squandered the lead in the second half, and then watched as the Jags hit the game-winning field goal as time expired to win it 26-24. The loss drops Denver to 0-4 for the first time since 1999. Here are my thoughts and observations about the game....

1) The Broncos started fast and looked really good early on. Two Joe Flacco TD passes gave Denver a 17-3 in the second quarter. I really did not think that the Jags would be able to mount the comeback on the road at that point.

2) The turning point of the game was when Flacco got intercepted deep in Jax territory near the end of the half. It was a terrible throw and the Jaguars converted it into a field goal and a 17-6 deficit.

3) Jacksonville took control from there behind the play of Minshew and Leonard Fournette. Fournette gashed the Denver defense for over 200 yards, and Minshew made some big time plays to give the Jags a 23-17 lead late in the fourth quarter.

4) Give Joe Flacco credit because he drove the Broncos down the field and hit Courtland Sutton for the go-ahead score to make it 24-23 with over a minute and a half left. The Broncos defense had to be able to get a stop on Minshew, but they didn't. They are the goats of the game. You can't let a rookie QB drive down the field to win the game late in Denver against your defense. Unfortunately, it happened for the second time in three weeks and the second time at home.

5) This loss hurts because at 0-4 the Broncos season is essentially over by the time we hit October 1st. You don't come back from 0-4 in the NFL. The Broncos should have NEVER lost this game, and it is a shame that they did. They are really bad in my opinion. This franchise continues to hit all-time lows over the past three seasons. Now, they head to LA to take on the Chargers with the possibility of going 0-5 for the first time in franchise history.

Seattle-Rams Week 5 TNF Pick

SEATTLE (-1) over LA Rams