NFL Week 5 Picks!

Week 5 is here, and I had a sensational week picking games in Week 4. I hit on 11 out of 14 games to put my record at 14 games over .500 against the spread. Here are my Week 5 picks....

Last Week's Record: 11-3
Overall Record: 37-23-2
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)

Jacksonville (PICK) over BUFFALO: I'll take Jacksonville on the road, eventhough they are a terrible road team. The Bills are just awful, and the Jags squeak one out on the road.

INDY (-7) over Kansas City: The Chiefs are off to a 3-0 start, but you can't buy into them too much. The Colts are coming off a loss at Jacksonville and they will return home and play well. I could see this game being close for awhile, and then Peyton Manning takes over.

DETROIT (-3) over St. Louis: The Lions have been close to winning the first four weeks, and they finally get their first win of the season this week. The Rams have played well under Sam Bradford, but the Lions get the job done at home.

Atlanta (-3) over CLEVELAND: The Browns have Peyton Hillis and Josh Cribbs and that is it on offense. The Falcons need to play well on the road, and this week they will and they get a big victory to go to 4-1.

Tampa Bay (+7) over CINCY: The Bengals are not impressive on offense at all, and Tampa pulls a close upset on the road. I see the Bengals winning this game, but don't be surprised to see the Bucs keep it close.

CAROLINA (+3) over Chicago: The Bears got exposed on SNF against the Giants. Jay Cutler tapped out at halftime and it was an embarrasment. The Panthers will play hard every week for John Fox, and this week they pull off the shocker at home.

WASHINGTON (+3) over Green Bay: The Packers have lost their luster the past two weeks, and Aaron Rodgers played badly against the Lions. The Pack are vunerable this week, and Washington will be tough at home all year. The Skins have no running game, but Donovan McNabb makes enough plays to get the Skins to 3-2.

HOUSTON (-3) over NY Giants: I watched a lot of the Texans-Raiders game last week, and I am so impressed with Matt Schaub and the Texan offense. This game will not be close because Houston is one of the few teams in the NFL that actually runs the ball consistently. That will set up their deep balls and play action game, and this just looks like a mismatch for the Texans over that Giants defense.

New Orleans (-6) over ARIZONA: The Cards might be the worst 2-2 team of all time. It gets worse this week as they turn to Max Hall at QB. The Saints offense hasn't been impressive but they won't have to be this week, as New Orleans does enough to get a victory.

OAKLAND (+7) over San Diego: The Raiders played the Chargers tough last year. The Chargers will win this game because of Philip Rivers, but I have a feeling this is going to be a close game and a down to the wire finish.

Tennessee (+7) over DALLAS: This should be a great game on Sunday. Both teams will like to establish the line of scrimmage on both sides. The Titans will make one more play at the end to beat Dallas in Big D.

SAN FRANCISCO (-3) over Philly: The Eagles are a completely different team without Michael Vick playing. Kevin Kolb looks skittish back there. The Niners are desperate and would have won on Sunday over Atlanta if Nate Clements didn't fumble after an interception late in the game. The 49ers finally get their first win and get back in the NFC West race-believe it or not.

Minnesota (+4) over NY JETS: I hate the Jets, but I have to admit that they look like a legitimate number one or two seed this year. This will be a fun game to watch: Brett Favre comes back to NY, Randy Moss' return to the Vikings, and the Jet crowd going crazy on a Monday Night (Columbus Day Night no less). This should be a battle, and I'm going to take the underdog Vikings. I think the addition of Moss will really get their offense going, and they need this game more than the Jets at this point.

BALTIMORE (-7) over Denver: The Broncos always have a tough time in Baltimore. Last year, Denver went there with a 6-0 record and got smashed 30-7. That game exposed the Broncos weaknesses, and this year might be no different. The Broncos can't run the ball, even if Knowshon Moreno comes back, and the one-dimensional approach will not work versus that Baltimore Defense. Joe Flacco will have all day to throw and he will pick apart the Broncos secondary. This one could get ugly quick. Final Score: Ravens-31 Denver-13