Saturday, October 13, 2012

Week 6 Picks

CLEVELAND (+2) over Cincy: The Browns are 0-5, and they are due for their first win. They are in the midst of one of the worst runs in recent football memory. Dating back to last season, the Browns have lost 11 in a row, and they are 1-14 in the last 15 games. The Browns are really due for a win, and they get it here over the Bengals.

Indy (+4) over NY JETS: The Jets played inspired on Monday Night in a tough 23-17 loss to the Texans. Now, they host the 2-2 Colts and logic would suggest that the Jets will win. I'm not so sure about that. The Jets may end up winning the game, but I think Andrew Luck will come out and play really well against Rex Ryan's defense. This one is close, so I'll take the Colts and the points. Get the Tebow train rolling!

Tampa Bay (-4) over Kansas City: The Chiefs are a disaster, and Matt Cassel was cheered when he got hurt on Sunday. They played well enough to upset the Ravens, but they turn the ball over like a middle school football team. The Bucs will do enough to win this game outright in Tampa on Sunday.

ATLANTA (-8) over Oakland: The Falcons are 5-0 and won a tough road game in Washington last week. They return home to take on the Raiders. We know how good the Falcons are at home, and the Raiders always seem to lay an egg on the road in the early game on the East coast. Look for another thumping by the Falcons as they get to 6-0.

Dallas (+4) over BALTIMORE: Here is my upset of the week: The Cowboys go into Baltimore and shock the Ravens. The Ravens are due for a home loss, and they beat the Browns by six and the Chiefs by three the past two weeks. Look for this one to be close, and Tony Romo makes a key throw late in the game to win it for the Boys.

Detroit (+4) over PHILLY: Can you really trust the Eagles? Is Mike Vick one more turnover-filled game away from getting benched? I know the Lions have been disappointing, but I think they get things turned around at least for one week.

MIAMI (-3) over St.Louis: Interesting game between two feisty teams. The Rams come in at 3-2. It is the first time they are over .500 since 2006. That is pretty remarkable. I like the Fish in this one because they are at home, and I really think the Miami defense is solid.

New England (-3) over SEATTLE: Tricky game for the Pats going out West, but after watching their offense last week in the win over Denver you have the feeling that they are clicking on all cylinders. The Seattle defense is good, but the Pats will find a way.

Buffalo (+4) over ARIZONA: A lot of people are taking Arizona, but I'm going the other way. I have been disappointed in the Bills this year, and their defense has been awful. This is one of those games where it looks obvious that the Cards will win, but I'll go with the Bills and the upset.

WASHINGTON (-2) over Minnesota: The Vikings are a surprising 4-1, and look like a legitimate sleeper in the NFC, but this week it all comes crashing down on the road. Take the Skins at home, and look for RG III to help them get to 3-3.

New York Giants (+7) over SAN FRANCISCO: The matchup of the day features a rematch from the NFC Championship Game. I think the Niners are the better team right now, but no one plays better as an underdog than the Tom Coughlin-Eli Manning Era Giants. The best part about this game is the fact that it is a 4:00 pm EST start which coincides with the Yankees and Tigers Game 2 ALCS with starts at the exact same time. This will lead to grumblings and mumblings from the old-guard G-Men/Bronx Bomber faithful about scheduling and game times. By the way, the Giants win it outright.

HOUSTON(-4) over Green Bay: I'm going to go with the Texans this week because this is the first ever Sunday Night Football game in Houston since the Texans joined the league in 2002. You have to side with a crowd that will be very pumped up and excited for their first SNF game in franchise history. Take the Texans and let's continue to debate what the hell is wrong with the Packers for the next month.

SAN DIEGO (-1) over Denver: Denver could have a huge advantage because the Chargers come in banged up on the offensive line, secondary, and even their kicker is out. Could I see Denver and Peyton Manning rolling into San Diego on Monday Night Football and taking care of business? Sure I can, but the problem with this Broncos team is that I can't trust them yet. I know that Peyton Manning is  doing everything he can to help this team win, but I can't trust their defense, their running game isn't clicking, and they just make too many mistakes on both sides of the ball. The Chargers and Phillip Rivers own the Broncos, and I have a feeling that they will do it one more time.

Final Score: Chargers-27 Denver-20

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