Friday, December 17, 2021

Broncos-Bengals and Week 15 Picks

Sunday's game in Denver is the biggest game of the season for the Broncos, and the biggest game they have played since 2016. Win this game, and they certainly help themselves in the race to get a playoff spot in the AFC. Lose this game, and it will be very difficult for them the rest of the way. This is going to be a tough game. I know Denver's defense has played well the last month, but it will be a test to stop Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, and Jamar Chase. The Broncos are a little banged up in their front seven, and that worries me in this particular game. I also don't know if the Broncos offense can move the ball effectively enough on this Bengals defense. Teddy Bridgewater is going to have to play lights out in the passing game for the Broncos to have a chance. The home crowd and fans in Denver have to bring it on Sunday. They have to be loud and at a fever pitch to do anything they can to help the Broncos. They need to treat this like a playoff game. Bring back the Mile High Magic and homefield noise. It will be a tough game for the Broncos, and I just have a feeling that they will fall short.

Prediction: Cincinnati (+1) over DENVER

Final Score: Benglas-27 Broncos-17


Now, onto the picks for Week 15....

Last Week's Record: 10-4-0

Overall Record: : 103-94-9

(HOME TEAM IN CAPS) 


Las Vegas (+6) over CLEVELAND: This game takes place on Saturday afternoon as part of a special Saturday doubleheader. The Browns have major Covid issues as they try to make the push for the playoffs. At 7-6, they can't afford a loss here. The Raiders are 6-7 and hanging on for dear life. I'll take the Raiders and the points with all the Covid concerns that the Browns are dealing with.

INDIANAPOLIS (-2) over New England: This is a great game on Saturday night. The 7-6 Colts are right in the mix for the playoffs in the AFC. The Pats come in winners of seven straight games and a 9-4 record. I think the Pats winning streak ends here in Indy.

PHILADELPHIA (-4) over Washington: At 6-7, both teams are in the NFC Wild Card mix, and this game might be an elimination game for the loser. I think the Eagles are a tad better at this point, so I'll take them at home.

Carolina (+11) over BUFFALO: The Bills are 7-6 and fighting for a spot as a Wild Card at this moment. Josh Allen is banged up, but he should play this week. I think the Bills win but look for Carolina to cover. 

Jets (+8) over MIAMI:  The Dolphins are 6-7 after starting 1-7, and now they host the 3-10 Jets. Look for Miami to continue their winning ways and get to 7-7, but I think this number is too high. I could see the Jets somehow keeping it close.

GIANTS (+9) over Dallas: The Cowboys are in control of the NFC East at 9-4, and they head to the Meadowlands to take on the 4-9 Giants. I can't see Dallas screwing this up-especially since the Giants will be without QB Daniel Jones once again, but I think the Giants get the backdoor cover.

PITTSBURGH (+2) over Tennessee: At 6-6-1, the Steelers desperately need this game to stay in the playoff race. Tennessee is in good shape in the AFC South at 9-4, so I will go with the more desperate team in Pittsburgh to win this game. 

JACKSONVILLE (-3) over Houston: Both teams are 2-11 and no one cares about this game. Urban Meyer got fired this week in Jacksonville and he didn't even finish the season in his first year as a head coach in the NFL. I feel like the Jags players will respond and play well with Meyer gone.

DETROIT (+14) over Arizona: The 1-11-1 Lions will play better than they did last week, and Arizona needs to get back on track in the NFC after losing last week at home to the Rams. I think Arizona wins, but I could see the Lions covering.

Atlanta (+9) over SAN FRANCISCO: The 49ers are 7-6 and are securing their spot in the NFC playoffs. The Falcons are 6-7 and not out of it yet. This is a big game for both teams. The Niners will win the game, but look for Atlanta to cover the spread. 

Green Bay (-4) over BALTIMORE: The Ravens are 8-5 and stumbling a little bit. Lamar Jackson got banged up in the loss to the Browns last week. He might not play in this game. Look for the Packers and Aaron Rodgers to go into Baltimore and rip apart the Ravens defense. 

Seattle (+6) over RAMS: The Seahawks are 5-8 and have slim playoff hopes, but they are still alive. The Rams looked great in their big win over the Cardinals last Monday night, but are dealing with major Covid issues all along their roster. I think the Rams will find a way to win the game, but it will be close. 

TAMPA BAY (-10) over New Orleans: The Saints are 6-7 and still have a chance of a playoff spot in the NFC. Tampa Bay is cruising to the division title and a possible #1 seed in the NFC. There's no way the Bucs will blow this game at home on Sunday Night Football.

Minnesota (-3) over CHICAGO:  At 6-7, the Vikings are still in the mix for the last seed in the NFC playoffs. The Bears are 4-9 and looking ahead to next year. I think Minnesota will win the game, but every week they play close games. Can they actually cover a three point spread as a favorite?

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