Thursday, January 8, 2015

Divisional Round Picks!!!

The Divisional Round kicks off this weekend with a group of four games that have intrigue, storylines, and big-time QBs. Here are the final eight quarterbacks left in the playoffs: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Joe Flacco, Andrew Luck, Tony Romo, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Cam Newton. Manning, Brady, Flacco, Rodgers and Wilson have all won Super Bowls. Romo is a perennial All-Pro who missing only a Super Bowl on his resume. Cam Newton is a former #1 overall pick, who has led the Panthers to the playoffs in back-to-back seasons.  Andrew Luck is on the cusp of being the next elite QB in the entire sport, and will probably win multiple Super Bowls. It is a star-studded cast of QBs who hit the field this weekend. The weekend starts with a classic playoff rivalry when the Ravens travel to Foxborough to take on the Patriots on Saturday afternoon. The Saturday night game features the defending champion Seahawks hosting the Panthers. Sunday is a classic day. The early game features the Cowboys and Packers from Lambeau Field. Denver hosts the Colts the late game Sunday: Luck vs. Peyton. The best weekend of football is upon us... On a side note, before I get to my picks, I would like to congratulate myself on the fact that I predicted all four of the teams left in the AFC in my preview back in August. Back then, I had the Ravens upsetting #1 New England and the Colts upsetting #2 Denver. Whatever happens this weekend, just know that I predicted this all way back before the season started. I just want everyone to know that. Carry on with the picks for the Divisional Playoffs.....

Last Week's Record: 1-3
Overall Playoff Record: 1-3
Final Regular Season Record: 135-113-8
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)


6-Baltimore at 1- New England

A Case for the Ravens: Did I tell you that the Ravens under John Harbaugh are a tough out in the playoffs? You have to like the momentum as the Ravens head to New England fresh off their convincing win over the Steelers in Pittsburgh last week. Plus, having Haloti Ngata back helps that front seven keep the pressure off their depleted secondary. With Elvis Dumervil and Terrell Suggs coming off the edge, the Ravens can get pressure on Tom Brady and disrupt the Pats offense. Maybe the one team that the Pats wanted to avoid was the Ravens, and all of a sudden here comes Baltimore on Saturday. No one else in the AFC knows how to play the Pats better than the Ravens. Did I mention how clutch Joe Flacco is in the playoffs? The Ravens have won a Super Bowl, and a lot of those key members are back for a possible run this year.

A Case for the Patriots: This might be the best Patriots team to make a run at the Super Bowl since 2010. With Rob Gronkowski back in the fold and healthy, this offense has been superb. Brady has Gronk available and that makes the world of difference. Also, if the Pats want to run the ball, they can do it. On defense, for the first time in a few years, you aren’t worried about the secondary or injuries. They are healthy in the front seven, and with Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner in the secondary, they can shut the Ravens offense down. I just can’t see how the Ravens secondary is going to hold up to the Patriots offense with Gronk, Julian Edelman, and a rested Tom Brady.

Prediction: NEW ENGLAND (-7) over Baltimore: This game has all the making of a close one, and I could see the Ravens pulling the upset-I don’t think the Pats were thrilled to see them advance. But the thought of Tom Brady picking apart that Ravens secondary is what I keep coming back to over and over again. Look for the Pats to advance to their fourth straight AFC Championship.

Final Score: Patriots-30 Ravens-21


4-Carolina at 1-Seattle

A Case for the Panthers: Don’t you think that the Panthers are the type of team that can match the Seahawks in a physical sense? These two teams twice in the last two years, and both times the Panthers played the Seahawks really tight and lost close games both times. I have confidence that their defense can stifle the Seahawks for a little while, and I could see Cam Newton taking this game over. Plus, there is no one picking the Panthers and they are the one team that really has nothing to lose this weekend.

A Case for the Seahawks: They are clearly the best team in the NFC, and they are at home against a team that was 7-8-1 in the regular season. It would be a tall task for the Panthers to go into Seattle, battle the 12th man, and win this game. Seattle has been playing great the last month and a half of the season, and their defense is playing at the level it played last year. I can’t see how the Panthers and a banged-up Cam Newton are going to be able to move the ball consistently on this Seattle defense.

Prediction: Carolina (+11) over SEATTLE: The Seahawks will win this game outright. There is no doubt that Seattle is advancing, but this line seems a little too high. I see the Seahawks winning a tough, grind-it-out, game and advance back to the NFC Championship.

Final Score: Seahawks-24 Panthers-14


3-Dallas at 2-Green Bay

A Case for the Cowboys: The Cowboys can run the ball, have a great offensive line, weapons on offense, and Tony Romo. You can win a playoff game on the road with those things. You have to like the Cowboys chances in that regard. I think they match up really well with the Packers. Don’t you feel like they got that monkey off their back with that comeback win over the Lions last week? Now, they can play fast and loose as the underdog. Also, wouldn’t be typical of the NFL if the Cowboys rode the momentum of that non-call last week against the Lions and went on a run to the Super Bowl after almost getting eliminated in the Wild Card round.

A Case for the Packers: They are the better team, and they are at home in Lambeau. The Packers were just so dominating at home this year. On a frigid Sunday in the playoffs, you can just see them going off and getting a huge lead early. I know Aaron Rodgers is a little banged up with the calf injury, but he will play, and I expect him to be at his best. I like his matchup with his receivers and the Cowboys secondary. It would be a tall order for someone to come in and beat the Packers at home in these playoffs.

Prediction: Dallas (+7) over GREEN BAY: I love this matchup early on Sunday. Cowboys-Packers from Lambeau Field. What a setting for the Divisional Round. The Packers will probably win, but how much fun would it be if the Cowboys advanced. I think they have a shot, so I’ll take them in the upset.

Final Score: Cowboys-30 Packers-27

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